Century Communities (Century Communities) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $96.91 (As of May. 26, 2024)

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What is Century Communities Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-26), Century Communities's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $96.91.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Century Communities's Predictability Rank is 3.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Century Communities is 13.44%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Century Communities's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CCS' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.28 Med: 0.76 Max: 1
Current: 0.87

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Century Communities was 1.00. The lowest was 0.28. And the median was 0.76.

CCS's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked worse than
80% of 15 companies
in the Homebuilding & Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.5 vs CCS: 0.87

Century Communities Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Century Communities's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Century Communities Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Century Communities Annual Data

Trend

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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181.24

91.58

Century Communities Quarterly Data
	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23	Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															145.74	110.01	82.37	91.58	96.91

Competitive Comparison of Century Communities's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Century Communities's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Century Communities's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Century Communities's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Century Communities's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Century Communities Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.47%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Century Communities's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $8.397.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Century Communities's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

8.397

11.5406

96.91

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(96.91	-	83.89)	/	96.91
	=	13.44 %

Century Communities (NYSE:CCS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Century Communities Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Century Communities's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Century Communities (Century Communities) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Homebuilding & Construction » Century Communities Inc (NYSE:CCS) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

CCT:Germany

Address

8390 East Crescent Parkway, Suite 650, Greenwood Village, CO, USA, 80111

Website

https://www.centurycommunities.com

Century Communities Inc is a construction company that focuses on the residential market. It has five homebuilding segments: West, Mountain, Texas, Southeast, and Century Complete. Its sixth reportable segment is financial services operations, which provides mortgage, title, and insurance services to homebuyers. It has acquired land for homebuilding operations with the primary intent to develop and construct single-family detached or attached homes for sale on the acquired land. The company sells homes through its own sales representatives and independent real estate brokers. It also advertises directly to potential homebuyers through the Internet, newspapers, and trade publications. The company generates the most revenue from the Mountain segment.

Executives

Elisa Z Ramirez	director	1225 17TH STREET, SUITE 2600, DENVER CO 80202
David L Messenger	officer: Chief Financial Officer
John Scott Dixon	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	CENTURY COMMUNITIES, INC., 8390 E. CRESCENT PARKWAY, STE. 650, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Dale Francescon	director, 10 percent owner, officer: See Remarks	8390 EAST CRESCENT PARKWAY, SUITE 650, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Robert J Francescon	director, 10 percent owner, officer: See Remarks	8390 EAST CRESCENT PARKWAY, SUITE 650, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Patricia L. Arvielo	director	8390 EAST CRESCENT PARKWAY, SUITE 650, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Bennett Wesley Allen Arthur	other: General Counsel	C/O CENTURY COMMUNITIES, INC., 8390 EAST CRESCENT PARKWAY, SUITE 650, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Dustin L. Bogue	other: Regional President - West	UCP, INC., 99 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, SUITE 400, SAN JOSE CA 95113
Stewart Hugh Parker	other: Regional President	C/O CENTURY COMMUNITIES, INC., 8390 EAST CRESCENT PARKWAY, SUITE 650, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Richard A Carruthers	other: Regional President	C/O CENTURY COMMUNITIES, INC., 8390 EAST CRESCENT PARKWAY, SUITE 650, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Liesel W Cooper	other: Regional President	C/O CENTURY COMMUNITIES, INC., 8390 EAST CRESCENT PARKWAY, SUITE 650, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Keith R Guericke	director	C/O ESSEX PROPERTY TRUST, 1100 PARK PLACE, SUITE 200, SAN MATEO CA 94403
John P Box	director	8390 EAST CRESCENT PARKWAY, SUITE 650, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
James A Lippman	director	8390 EAST CRESCENT PARKWAY, SUITE 650, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Kenneth J Rabel	officer: Division President-Colorado	8390 EAST CRESCENT PARKWAY, SUITE 650, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111