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Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV (Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $-158.55 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $-158.55.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CBI's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Construction industry.
Industry Median: 0.755
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV Annual Data
Trend Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV Quarterly Data
Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 2.64%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $-11.7.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.09) = 0.96330275229358
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-11.7*13.5514
=-158.55

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (-158.55 - 16.39) / -158.55
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV  (NYSE:CBI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV (Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Founded in 1889, Chicago Bridge & Iron provides a wide range of services, including conceptual design, technology, engineering, procurement, fabrication, modularization, construction, commissioning, maintenance, program management, and environmental services, to customers in the global energy infrastructure market. It also provides diversified government services. It generated 2017 adjusted revenue and adjusted EBIT of $5.8 billion and a loss of $180 million, respectively. CB&I employs 34,000 at active projects in more than 70 countries.
Executives
James H Miller director C/O CROWN HOLDINGS, INC., 770 TOWNSHIP LINE ROAD, YARDLEY PA 19067
W Craig Kissel director
Alexander Forbes I J director 10560 DR. MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. ST N, ST. PETERSBURG FL 33716-3718
Deborah M Fretz director 1801 MARKET STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
L Richard Flury director 2000 W SAM HOUSTON PKWY S, SUITE 2000, HOUSTON TX 77042
Richard W. Heo officer: Executive Vice President 2103 RESEARCH FOREST DRIVE, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Westley S. Stockton officer: VP, Controller, CAO 2103 RESEARCH FOREST DRIVE, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
James R Bolch director C/O INGERSOLL-RAND COMPANY, 155 CHESTNUT RIDGE ROAD, MONTVALE NJ 07645
Marsha C Williams director EQUITY OFFICE PROPERTIES, CHICAGO IL 60606
Michael S Taff officer: Executive Vice President & CFO 777 N ELDRIDGE PARKWAY, HOUSTON TX 77079
Larry D Mcvay director 2000 W SAM HOUSTON PKWY S, SUITE 2000, HOUSTON TX 77042
Philip K Asherman director, officer: President and CEO 1450 LAKE ROBBINS DR.,, SUITE 400, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Chandler Richard E Jr officer: EVP and Chief Legal Officer 1800 HUGHES LANDING BLVD, SUITE 250, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Sheila B Feldman officer: Executive Vice President
Ronald A Ballschmiede officer: Executive Vice President & CFO 1800 HUGHES LANDING BLVD, SUITE 250, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380

Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV (Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV) Headlines