GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » Cabela′s Inc (NYSE:CAB) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Cabela′s (Cabela′s) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2004. Start your Free Trial

What is Cabela′s Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-06-06), Cabela′s's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Cabela′s's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Cabela′s is

The historical rank and industry rank for Cabela′s's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CAB's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.
Industry Median: 0.8
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Cabela′s Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cabela′s's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cabela′s Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Cabela′s Annual Data
Trend Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Cabela′s Quarterly Data
Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Cabela′s's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Cabela′s's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cabela′s's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Cabela′s's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cabela′s's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Cabela′s Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.30%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Cabela′s's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 61.50) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cabela′s  (NYSE:CAB) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Cabela′s Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cabela′s's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cabela′s (Cabela′s) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Cabela's Inc was founded in 1961. The Company is a specialty retailer, and the direct marketer, of hunting, fishing, camping, and related outdoor merchandise. It also issues Cabela's CLUB Visa credit card, which serves as its customer loyalty rewards program. The Company operates in four segments Retail, Direct, Financial Services, and Corporate Overhead and Other. In retail segment the Company operated 77 retail stores, 68 stores in 36 states and nine stores in six Canadian provinces. During 2015, it opened 13 retail stores, 11 stores in the United States and two in Canada. It has two basic store formats. Its legacy stores refer to traditional retail stores that opened in August 2008 and earlier. It has 28 traditional, or legacy, retail stores, which offers a tourist-type experience. Its retail stores often attract the construction and development of hotels, restaurants, and other retail establishments adjacent to these stores. The Direct segment sells products through its e-commerce websites (Cabelas.com and Cabelas.ca) and direct mail catalogs. It markets its products through websites, mobile devices, and its print catalog distributions. The Financial Services segment provides customers with a rewards program that enhances revenue, operating profitability, and customer loyalty in its Retail and Direct businesses. Through its wholly-owned bank subsidiary, World's Foremost Bank, it issues and manages the Cabela's CLUB Visa credit card, a rewards based credit card program. The Company's product assortments includes merchandise and equipment for hunting, fishing, marine use, camping, and recreational sport shooting, along with casual and outdoor apparel and footwear, optics, vehicle accessories, and gifts and home furnishings with an outdoor theme. The Corporate Overhead and Other segment includes the value of unredeemed points earned that are associated with the Company's loyalty rewards programs for Cabela's CLUB issued credit cards, net of the estimated costs of the points; amounts received from outfitter services; real estate rental income; land sales; and fees earned from a travel business and other complementary business services. The Company competes with the outdoor recreation and casual apparel and footwear markets. It competes directly or indirectly with other broad-line merchants, large-format sporting goods stores and chains, mass merchandisers, warehouse clubs, discount and department stores, small specialty retailers, and catalog and Internet-based retailers.
Executives
James F Wright director TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY, 200 POWELL PLACE, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Thomas L Millner director, officer: Chief Executive Officer
Beth M Pritchard director BORDERS GROUP INC, 100 PHOENIX DRIVE, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Peter S Swinburn director 440 S. CHURCH STREET, SUITE 700, CHARLOTTE NY 28202
Donna M Milrod director 60 WALL STREET, 42ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
Michael R Mccarthy director 1601 DODGE ST, SUITE 3800, OMAHA NE 68102
Scott K Williams officer: PRESIDENT 170 COUNTRYSIDE DRIVE, P.O. BOX 409, BELLEVILLE WI 53508
Theodore M Armstrong director 7730 CARONDELET, SUITE 103, ST. LOUIS MO 63105
Ralph W Castner officer: EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT & CFO ONE CABELA DRIVE, SIDNEY NE 69160
Reuben Mark director 300 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Stephen Murray director CCMP CAPITAL ADVISORS, LLC, 245 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10067
Michael Callahan officer: Senior Vice President ONE CABELA DRIVE, SIDNEY NE 69160
David Roehr officer: Executive Vice President ONE CABELA DRIVE, SIDNEY NE 69160
Mccarthy Group Inc 10 percent owner 1601 DODGE ST, SUITE 3800, OMAHA NE 68102
Fulcrum Growth Partners Llc 10 percent owner 1125 SOUTH 103RD STREET, #450, OMAHA NE 68124

Cabela′s (Cabela′s) Headlines

From GuruFocus

More Upside Cannot Be Ruled Out At Cabela's

By rusticnomad rusticnomad 05-26-2015

Buy This Retailer to Benefit From the Outdoor Recreation Economy

By rsconsultant rsconsultant 07-22-2014

Michael Price Buys Alphabet, Cabela in 2nd Quarter

By Tiziano Frateschi Tiziano Frateschi 08-31-2017

Ruane Cunniff Comments on Cabela's

By Holly LaFon Holly LaFon 07-13-2016

Bass Pro Shops Hooks Cabela's

By Sydnee Gatewood Sydnee Gatewood 10-04-2016

Prices Go Up for Some New Positions in Sarah Ketterer's Portfolio

By Samira Meskini Samira Meskini 12-24-2015

Sequoia Fund Comments on Cabela's

By Holly LaFon 08-28-2015

Ken Fisher Exits Cabela's

By Kyle Ferguson Kyle Ferguson 01-20-2017

Cabela's: Little Room For Error - Diamond Hill Capital Management

By Canadian Value Canadian Value 03-22-2015

5 Stocks Experiencing High Trading Volume

By Vatalyst.com Vatalyst.com 04-01-2012