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Alcoa (FRA:ALU2) Piotroski F-Score : 0 (As of May. 02, 2024)


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What is Alcoa Piotroski F-Score?

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Alcoa has an F-score of 3. It is a bad or low score, which usually implies poor business operation.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alcoa's Piotroski F-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Alcoa Piotroski F-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alcoa's Piotroski F-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alcoa Piotroski F-Score Chart

Alcoa Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Piotroski F-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.00 6.00 5.00 7.00 3.00

Alcoa Quarterly Data
Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16
Piotroski F-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00

How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep16) TTM:Last Year (Sep15) TTM:
Net Income was -643.518 + 14.368 + 120.15 + 147.906 = €-361 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 794.07 + -386.14 + 295.48 + 272.646 = €976 Mil.
Revenue was 4814.91 + 4442.406 + 4712.55 + 4644.783 = €18,615 Mil.
Gross Profit was 772.038 + 813.588 + 960.31 + 887.436 = €3,433 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Sep15)
to the end of this year (Sep16) was
(32599.017 + 33532.704 + 32453.72 + 32163.71 + 33366.168) / 5 = €32823.0638 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year (Sep15) was €32,599 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €8,465 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €8,347 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €4,901 Mil.
Net Income was 128.949 + 180.18 + 124.74 + 39.204 = €473 Mil.

Revenue was 5171.747 + 5376.756 + 5254.227 + 4965.543 = €20,768 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1138.644 + 1271.424 + 1099.494 + 903.474 = €4,413 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Sep14)
to the end of last year (Sep15) was
(28806.672 + 30301.393 + 32981.256 + 32599.017 + 32599.017) / 5 = €31457.471 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Sep14) was €28,807 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €8,100 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €7,655 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €4,586 Mil.

*Note: If the latest quarterly/semi-annual/annual total assets data is 0, then we will use previous quarterly/semi-annual/annual data for all the items in the balance sheet.

Profitability

Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Alcoa's current Net Income (TTM) was -361. ==> Negative ==> Score 0.

Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Alcoa's current Cash Flow from Operations (TTM) was 976. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year's return on assets (1) to last year's return on assets.

Score 1 if it's higher, 0 if it's lower.

ROA (This Year)=Net Income/Total Assets (Sep15)
=-361.094/32599.017
=-0.01107684

ROA (Last Year)=Net Income/Total Assets (Sep14)
=473.073/28806.672
=0.01642234

Alcoa's return on assets of this year was -0.01107684. Alcoa's return on assets of last year was 0.01642234. ==> Last year is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA <= ROA.

Alcoa's current Net Income (TTM) was -361. Alcoa's current Cash Flow from Operations (TTM) was 976. ==> 976 > -361 ==> CFROA > ROA ==> Score 1.

Funding

Question 5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year's gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year's gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Gearing (This Year: Sep16)=Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation/Average Total Assets from Sep15 to Sep16
=8465.391/32823.0638
=0.25790984

Gearing (Last Year: Sep15)=Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation/Average Total Assets from Sep14 to Sep15
=8100.081/31457.471
=0.25749308

Alcoa's gearing of this year was 0.25790984. Alcoa's gearing of last year was 0.25749308. ==> Last year is lower than this year ==> Score 0.

Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year's current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year's current ratio.

Score 1 if this year's current ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower

Current Ratio (This Year: Sep16)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=8346.888/4900.5
=1.70327273

Current Ratio (Last Year: Sep15)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=7655.472/4585.977
=1.66932194

Alcoa's current ratio of this year was 1.70327273. Alcoa's current ratio of last year was 1.66932194. ==> This year's current ratio is higher. ==> Score 1.

Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

Alcoa's number of shares in issue this year was 453. Alcoa's number of shares in issue last year was 431. ==> There is larger number of shares in issue this year. ==> Score 0.

Efficiency

Question 8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year's gross margin (Gross Profit divided by sales) to last year's.

Score 1 if this year's gross margin is higher, 0 if it's lower.

Gross Margin (This Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=3433.372/18614.649
=0.18444463

Gross Margin (Last Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=4413.036/20768.273
=0.21248931

Alcoa's gross margin of this year was 0.18444463. Alcoa's gross margin of last year was 0.21248931. ==> Last year's gross margin is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year's asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year's asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year's asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Sep15)
=18614.649/32599.017
=0.57101872

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Sep14)
=20768.273/28806.672
=0.72095357

Alcoa's asset turnover of this year was 0.57101872. Alcoa's asset turnover of last year was 0.72095357. ==> Last year's asset turnover is higher ==> Score 0.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score= Que. 1+ Que. 2+ Que. 3+Que. 4+Que. 5+Que. 6+Que. 7+Que. 8+Que. 9
=0+1+0+1+0+1+0+0+0
=3

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Alcoa has an F-score of 3. It is a bad or low score, which usually implies poor business operation.

Alcoa  (FRA:ALU2) Piotroski F-Score Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


Alcoa Piotroski F-Score Related Terms

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Alcoa (FRA:ALU2) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
Arconic Inc, formerly known as Alcoa Inc was first incorporated as the Pittsburgh Reduction Company on October 1, 1888. The Company is engaged in manufacturing and engineering lightweight metals. Its products include aluminum, titanium, and nickel, used in aerospace, automotive, commercial transportation, packaging, building and construction, oil and gas, defense, consumer electronics, and industrial applications. The Company is also engaged in the production and management of aluminum, fabricated aluminum, and alumina combined, through its active participation in all aspects of the industry: technology, mining, refining, smelting, fabricating, and recycling. It has investments and operating activities in, among others, Australia, Brazil, China, Guinea, Iceland, Russia, and Saudi Arabia. The Company operates in segments including Global Rolled Products, Engineered Products and Solutions, and Transportation and Construction Solutions. The Company's Global Rolled Products segment represents its midstream operations. The Engineered Products and Solutions segment represents a portion of the Company's downstream operations. Its downstream portfolio includes two segments Engineered Products and Solutions and Transportation and Construction Solutions. The Engineered Products and Solutions consist of Alcoa Titanium & Engineered Products; Alcoa Fastening Systems & Rings; Alcoa Forgings and Extrusions; and Alcoa Power and Propulsion. The Company's Transportation and Construction Solutions segment represents a portion of its downstream operations. The raw materials used includes bauxite, alloying materials, caustic soda, alumina, electricity, aluminum fluoride, fuel oil, calcined petroleum coke, lime (CaO), cathode blocks, natural gas, electricity, liquid pitch, natural gas, titanium alloys, titanium sponge and resin. The Company's trademark products include Howmet metal castings, Huck fasteners, Kawneer building panels and Dura-Bright wheels with easy-clean surface treatments.

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