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Eastman Kodak Co (Eastman Kodak Co) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-3.30 (As of Mar24)


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What is Eastman Kodak Co Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Eastman Kodak Co's earnings power value is $-3.30. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Eastman Kodak Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Eastman Kodak Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Eastman Kodak Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Eastman Kodak Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.34 -3.70 -8.99 -6.65 -4.41

Eastman Kodak Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.69 -3.83 -5.36 -4.41 -3.30

Competitive Comparison of Eastman Kodak Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Specialty Business Services subindustry, Eastman Kodak Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Eastman Kodak Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Eastman Kodak Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Eastman Kodak Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Eastman Kodak Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Eastman Kodak Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,140
DDA 35
Operating Margin % -2.46
SGA * 25% 43
Tax Rate % -2.46
Maintenance Capex 22
Cash and Cash Equivalents 262
Short-Term Debt 12
Long-Term Debt 473
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 91

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -2.46%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,140 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -2.46%, Average Adjusted SGA = 43,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,140 * -2.46% +43 = $14.885286 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -2.46%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $14.885286 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 14.885286 * ( 1 - -2.46% ) = $15.25101747702 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 35 * 0.5 * -2.46% = $-0.427518 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 15.25101747702 + -0.427518 = $14.82349947702 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Eastman Kodak Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $22 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Eastman Kodak Co's current cash and cash equivalent = $262 Mil.
Eastman Kodak Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 473 + 12 = $485 Mil.
Eastman Kodak Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 91 Mil.

Eastman Kodak Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 14.82349947702 - 22)/ 9%+262-485 )/91
=-3.30

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -3.2974200466083-5.13 )/-3.2974200466083
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Eastman Kodak Co  (NYSE:KODK) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Eastman Kodak Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Eastman Kodak Co (Eastman Kodak Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
343 State Street, Rochester, NY, USA, 14650
Eastman Kodak Co is a United States-based company. The company operates via several business segments: Traditional Printing, Digital Printing, Brand and Advanced Materials and Chemicals. The Traditional Printing segment which derives the majority of revenue offers digital and traditional products and services to various businesses, such as commercial print and book publishing, and this segment contributes over half of the total revenue. The company has a global business presence, with overseas markets accounting for a majority of revenue.
Executives
Philippe D Katz director 160 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10038
David Bovenzi director C/O EASTMAN KODAK COMPANY, 343 STATE STREET, ROCHESTER NY 14650
Michael Sileck director C/O WORLD WRESTLING ENTERTAINMENT, INC., 1241 EAST MAIN STREET, STAMFORD CT 06902
Randy Vandagriff officer: Vice President EASTMAN KODAK COMPANY, 343 STATE STREET, ROCHESTER NY 14650
Kennedy Lewis Investment Management Llc director 80 BROAD STREET, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10004
Kennedy Lewis Capital Partners Master Fund Lp director 80 BROAD STREET, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10004
Kennedy Lewis Capital Partners Master Fund Iii Lp director 111 WEST 33RD STREET, SUITE 1910, NEW YORK NY 10120
Kennedy Lewis Gp Iii Llc director 111 WEST 33RD STREET, SUITE 1910, NEW YORK NY 10120
Kathleen B. Lynch director C/O EASTMAN KODAK COMPANY, 343 STATE STREET, ROCHESTER NY 14650
Richard T Michaels officer: CAO and Corp. Controller C/O EASTMAN KODAK COMPANY, 343 STATE STREET, ROCHESTER NY 14650
Darren Richman director 80 BROAD STREET, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10004
David Chene director 80 BROAD STREET, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10004
Kennedy Lewis Management Lp director 225 LIBERTY STREET, SUITE 4210, NEW YORK NY 10281
Klm Gp Llc director 80 BROAD STREET, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10004
Kennedy Lewis Investment Holdings Llc director 111 WEST 33RD STREET, SUITE 1910, NEW YORK NY 10120