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Barnes & Noble Education (Barnes & Noble Education) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-18.89 (As of Jan24)


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What is Barnes & Noble Education Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jan24, Barnes & Noble Education's earnings power value is $-18.89. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Barnes & Noble Education Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Barnes & Noble Education's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Barnes & Noble Education Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Barnes & Noble Education Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.06 -5.04 -14.38 -18.85 -18.48

Barnes & Noble Education Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -21.11 -18.48 -21.03 -19.19 -18.89

Competitive Comparison of Barnes & Noble Education's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Barnes & Noble Education's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Barnes & Noble Education's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Barnes & Noble Education's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Barnes & Noble Education's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Barnes & Noble Education Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Barnes & Noble Education's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,592
DDA 49
Operating Margin % -6.79
SGA * 25% 89
Tax Rate % 14.13
Maintenance Capex 30
Cash and Cash Equivalents 8
Short-Term Debt 350
Long-Term Debt 185
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 53

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -6.79%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,592 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -6.79%, Average Adjusted SGA = 89,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,592 * -6.79% +89 = $-19.423613901 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 14.13%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-19.423613901 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -19.423613901 * ( 1 - 14.13% ) = $-16.679154374858 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 49 * 0.5 * 14.13% = $3.453730203 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -16.679154374858 + 3.453730203 = $-13.225424171858 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Barnes & Noble Education's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $30 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Barnes & Noble Education's current cash and cash equivalent = $8 Mil.
Barnes & Noble Education's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 185 + 350 = $535.029 Mil.
Barnes & Noble Education's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 53 Mil.

Barnes & Noble Education's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jan24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -13.225424171858 - 30)/ 9%+8-535.029 )/53
=-18.89

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -18.891201745038-0.416 )/-18.891201745038
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Barnes & Noble Education  (NYSE:BNED) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Barnes & Noble Education Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Barnes & Noble Education's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Barnes & Noble Education (Barnes & Noble Education) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
120 Mountain View Boulevard, Basking Ridge, NJ, USA, 07920
Barnes & Noble Education Inc is an operator of bookstores in college and university campuses across the United States. The company is also engaged in providing digital education services. It operates in three reportable segments: Retail, wholesale, and Corporate Services.
Executives
Kevin Watson officer: EVP, CFO 1111 STEWART AVENUE, BETHPAGE NY 11714
Raphael Wallander director 3601 SOUTH CONGRESS AVENUE, BUILDING E, AUSTIN TX 78704
Steven G Panagos director C/O SPIRIT MTA REIT, 2727 NORTH HARWOOD STREET, SUITE 300, DALLAS TX 75201
Michael Huseby director 12405 POWERSCOURT DR, C/O CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS, ST LOUIS MO 63131
Denise Warren director 209 REDWOOD SHORES PKWY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
Mario R. Dell'aera director C/O BARNES & NOBLE EDUCATION, INC., 120 MOUNTAINVIEW BLVD., BASKING RIDGE NJ 07920
Kathryn Eberle Walker director 1621 NORTH KENT STREET, SUITE 1200, ARLINGTON VA 22209
Zachary Levenick other: See Explanation of Responses 840 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, PASADENA CA 91105
David G Golden director C/O BLACKBAUD, INC., 2000 DANIEL ISLAND DRIVE, CHARLESTON SC 29492
Miller Michael Connolly officer: CLO & VP Corp Affairs C/O BARNES & NOBLE EDUCATION, INC, 120 MOUNTAIN VIEW BLVD, BASKING RIDGE NJ 07920
Nenke David W. B. officer: Pres, DSS C/O BARNES & NOBLE EDUCATION, INC., 120 MOUNTAIN VIEW BLVD., BASKING RIDGE NJ 07920
David A Wilson director
David Gordon Henderson officer: Pres, MBS; EVP, Strat Services C/O BARNES & NOBLE EDUCATION, INC., 120 MOUNTAIN VIEW BLVD., BASKING RIDGE NJ 07920
Seema Paul officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O BARNES & NOBLE EDUCATION, INC., 120 MOUNTAIN VIEW BLVD, BASKING RIDGE NJ 07920
Jonathan Shar officer: EVP, Retail & Client Solutions C/O BARNES & NOBLE EDUCATION, INC., 120 MOUNTAIN VIEW BLVD., BASKING RIDGE NJ 07920

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