GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Capital Markets » Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) » Definitions » Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

Morgan Stanley (Morgan Stanley) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $0.10 (As of Dec. 2023)


View and export this data going back to 1986. Start your Free Trial

What is Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Morgan Stanley's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $-11.496. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $0.10 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, Morgan Stanley's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -97.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -72.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -33.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Morgan Stanley was 72.90% per year. The lowest was -150.60% per year. And the median was -7.10% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), Morgan Stanley's current stock price is $92.83. Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $0.10. Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 928.30.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Morgan Stanley was 941.60. The lowest was 3.25. And the median was 8.90.


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Morgan Stanley Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.14 4.90 6.25 4.48 0.10

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.64 2.13 2.45 0.10 -

Competitive Comparison of Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Morgan Stanley's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=-11.496/129.4194*129.4194
=-11.496

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 2.427 99.695 3.151
201406 0.531 100.560 0.683
201409 0.946 100.428 1.219
201412 -3.346 99.070 -4.371
201503 -6.814 99.621 -8.852
201506 2.195 100.684 2.821
201509 0.075 100.392 0.097
201512 1.595 99.792 2.069
201603 2.017 100.470 2.598
201606 6.214 101.688 7.909
201609 -4.651 101.861 -5.909
201612 -1.519 101.863 -1.930
201703 -0.141 102.862 -0.177
201706 -7.990 103.349 -10.006
201709 2.836 104.136 3.525
201712 2.002 104.011 2.491
201803 6.910 105.290 8.494
201806 -7.567 106.317 -9.211
201809 8.171 106.507 9.929
201812 -4.506 105.998 -5.502
201903 9.846 107.251 11.881
201906 6.074 108.070 7.274
201909 7.919 108.329 9.461
201912 -0.314 108.420 -0.375
202003 14.928 108.902 17.741
202006 -11.071 108.767 -13.173
202009 -4.464 109.815 -5.261
202012 -14.397 109.897 -16.955
202103 14.496 111.754 16.787
202106 2.228 114.631 2.515
202109 0.833 115.734 0.931
202112 -0.169 117.630 -0.186
202203 -0.235 121.301 -0.251
202206 8.192 125.017 8.480
202209 -4.956 125.227 -5.122
202212 -8.805 125.222 -9.100
202303 -6.364 127.348 -6.468
202306 -6.370 128.729 -6.404
202309 1.725 129.860 1.719
202312 -11.496 129.419 -11.496

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Morgan Stanley  (NYSE:MS) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=92.83/0.1
=928.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Morgan Stanley was 941.60. The lowest was 3.25. And the median was 8.90.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Morgan Stanley (Morgan Stanley) Business Description

Industry
Address
1585 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10036
Morgan Stanley is a global investment bank whose history, through its legacy firms, can be traced back to 1924. The company has institutional securities, wealth management, and investment management segments. The company had over $4 trillion of client assets as well as over 80,000 employees at the end of 2022. Approximately 50% of the company's net revenue is from its institutional securities business, with the remainder coming from wealth and investment management. The company derives about 30% of its total revenue outside the Americas.
Executives
Andrew M Saperstein officer: Head of Wealth Management 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Raja Akram officer: Deputy Chief Financial Officer 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Edward N Pick officer: Head of Inst'l Securities 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
James P Gorman other: Business Unit Head C/O MORGAN STANLEY, 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Daniel A Simkowitz officer: Head of Investment Management C/O MORGAN STANLEY, 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Smith Charles Aubrey Iii officer: Chief Risk Officer 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Thomas H Glocer director 2000 GALLOPING HILL ROAD, KENILWORTH NJ 07033
Alistair Darling director C/O MORGAN STANLEY 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK X1 10036
Mandell Crawley officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Eric F Grossman officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O MORGAN STANLEY, 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Masato Miyachi director C/O MORGAN STANLEY 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Stephen J Luczo director
Keishi Hotsuki officer: Interim Chief Risk Officer C/O MORGAN STANLEY, 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Jonathan Pruzan officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MORGAN STANLEY 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Erika H James director C/O SVMK INC., ONE CURIOSITY WAY, SAN MATEO CA 94403