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Dollar Tree (WBO:DLTR) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Dollar Tree Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.03 28.60 34.76 37.78 32.05

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data
Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 36.63 37.93 27.16 32.05 -

Competitive Comparison of Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Dollar Tree's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Apr. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Apr. 2024)
=0.952/131.7762*131.7762
=0.952

Current CPI (Apr. 2024) = 131.7762.

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201407 0.282 100.520 0.370
201410 -0.271 100.176 -0.356
201501 2.009 98.604 2.685
201504 0.373 99.824 0.492
201507 -1.167 100.691 -1.527
201510 -0.659 100.346 -0.865
201601 2.687 99.957 3.542
201604 0.503 100.947 0.657
201607 0.724 101.524 0.940
201610 -0.462 101.988 -0.597
201701 3.584 102.456 4.610
201704 1.260 103.167 1.609
201707 0.303 103.278 0.387
201710 -0.932 104.070 -1.180
201801 2.529 104.578 3.187
201804 0.706 105.708 0.880
201807 0.601 106.324 0.745
201810 0.197 106.695 0.243
201901 1.915 106.200 2.376
201904 1.507 107.818 1.842
201907 -0.247 108.250 -0.301
201910 -0.417 108.577 -0.506
202001 2.283 108.841 2.764
202004 2.802 108.173 3.413
202007 0.887 109.318 1.069
202010 0.215 109.861 0.258
202101 2.755 110.364 3.290
202104 1.181 112.673 1.381
202107 -0.181 115.183 -0.207
202110 -0.050 116.696 -0.056
202201 0.545 118.619 0.605
202204 1.160 121.978 1.253
202207 -1.289 125.002 -1.359
202210 -0.815 125.734 -0.854
202301 2.311 126.223 2.413
202304 1.643 127.992 1.692
202307 -1.052 128.974 -1.075
202310 -0.153 129.810 -0.155
202401 1.977 130.124 2.002
202404 0.952 131.776 0.952

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Dollar Tree  (WBO:DLTR) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Dollar Tree (WBO:DLTR) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
500 Volvo Parkway, Chesapeake, VA, USA, 23320
Dollar Tree operates discount stores across the United States and Canada, with over 8,200 shops under its namesake banner and 8,350 under Family Dollar. About 45% of Dollar Tree's sales in fiscal 2022 were composed of consumables (including food, health and beauty, and cleaning products), nearly 50% from variety items (including toys and homewares), and over 5% from seasonal items. The Dollar Tree banner sells most of its merchandise at the $1.25 price point and positions its stores in well-populated suburban markets. Conversely, Family Dollar primarily sells consumable merchandise (nearly 80% of the banner's sales) at prices below $10. About two-thirds of Family Dollar's stores are located in urban and suburban markets, with the remaining one-third located in rural areas.

Dollar Tree (WBO:DLTR) Headlines

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