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Orlen (WAR:PKN) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 6.39 (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is Orlen Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-28), Orlen's current share price is zł65.75. Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was zł10.29. Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 6.39.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:PKN' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 5.42   Med: 7.92   Max: 15.41
Current: 6.34

During the past years, Orlen's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 15.41. The lowest was 5.42. And the median was 7.92.

WAR:PKN's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked better than
77.27% of 396 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 13.66 vs WAR:PKN: 6.34

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Orlen's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was zł2.926. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is zł10.29 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Orlen Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Orlen Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Orlen Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 12.04 11.14 7.05 7.73

Orlen Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.42 6.80 6.46 7.73 6.32

Competitive Comparison of Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Orlen Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=65.75/10.29
=6.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Orlen's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=2.926/149.0435*149.0435
=2.926

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 149.0435.

Orlen Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 7.275 101.180 10.716
201409 2.789 100.611 4.132
201412 -1.441 100.122 -2.145
201503 0.852 100.041 1.269
201506 4.784 100.448 7.098
201509 -1.107 99.634 -1.656
201512 0.780 99.471 1.169
201603 3.268 98.983 4.921
201606 1.153 99.552 1.726
201609 2.216 99.064 3.334
201612 3.420 100.366 5.079
201703 -0.505 101.018 -0.745
201706 5.562 101.180 8.193
201709 4.969 101.343 7.308
201712 -0.650 102.564 -0.945
201803 -1.496 102.564 -2.174
201806 1.921 103.378 2.770
201809 5.823 103.378 8.395
201812 -5.011 103.785 -7.196
201903 0.833 104.274 1.191
201906 6.086 105.983 8.559
201909 5.520 105.983 7.763
201912 -1.048 107.123 -1.458
202003 -1.645 109.076 -2.248
202006 3.166 109.402 4.313
202009 0.493 109.320 0.672
202012 -2.770 109.565 -3.768
202103 1.084 112.658 1.434
202106 6.953 113.960 9.094
202109 5.290 115.588 6.821
202112 -4.313 119.088 -5.398
202203 -6.702 125.031 -7.989
202206 9.730 131.705 11.011
202209 6.686 135.531 7.353
202212 5.956 139.113 6.381
202303 11.818 145.950 12.068
202306 -0.555 147.009 -0.563
202309 -1.691 146.113 -1.725
202312 -4.741 147.741 -4.783
202403 2.926 149.044 2.926

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Orlen  (WAR:PKN) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Orlen Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Orlen's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Orlen (WAR:PKN) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Orlen SA (WAR:PKN) » Definitions » Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Chemikow 7 Street, Plock, POL, 09-411
Orlen SA is an energy conglomerate that refines and distributes oil in Poland, the Czech Republic, Germany, and Lithuania. Through a group of refineries, it processes crude oil into gasoline, diesel oil, fuel oil, and aviation fuel. The company also produces petrochemicals and products used by chemical companies as feedstock. Additional operations include exploration and production activities in Poland, where it is domiciled, and Canada. Oil products are offered through thousands of service stations, which is supported by logistics infrastructure. This infrastructure includes surface and underground storage depots and a long-distance pipeline network.

Orlen (WAR:PKN) Headlines