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United Parcel Service (UKEX:UPS) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 23.67 (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is United Parcel Service Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-06-07), United Parcel Service's current share price is ₴7316.00. United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was ₴309.12. United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 23.67.

The historical rank and industry rank for United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

UKEX:UPS' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 21.03   Med: 27.21   Max: 45.31
Current: 21.91

During the past years, United Parcel Service's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 45.31. The lowest was 21.03. And the median was 27.21.

UKEX:UPS's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
57.58% of 429 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 17.71 vs UKEX:UPS: 21.91

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

United Parcel Service's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was ₴107.137. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is ₴309.12 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


United Parcel Service Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

United Parcel Service Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

United Parcel Service Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.84 38.21 40.04 28.48 25.46

United Parcel Service Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.12 28.09 24.33 25.46 23.68

Competitive Comparison of United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



United Parcel Service Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=7316.00/309.12
=23.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, United Parcel Service's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=107.137/131.7762*131.7762
=107.137

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

United Parcel Service Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -40.163 100.560 -52.631
201409 75.353 100.428 98.874
201412 28.606 99.070 38.050
201503 105.073 99.621 138.988
201506 39.630 100.684 51.868
201509 66.164 100.392 86.848
201512 12.673 99.792 16.735
201603 100.875 100.470 132.307
201606 67.175 101.688 87.051
201609 -9.268 101.861 -11.990
201612 -0.821 101.863 -1.062
201703 -31.973 102.862 -40.960
201706 60.171 103.349 76.722
201709 4.508 104.136 5.705
201712 -205.548 104.011 -260.418
201803 116.921 105.290 146.334
201806 84.155 106.317 104.307
201809 26.850 106.507 33.220
201812 69.136 105.998 85.950
201903 35.302 107.251 43.375
201906 26.974 108.070 32.891
201909 0.508 108.329 0.618
201912 41.733 108.420 50.723
202003 74.813 108.902 90.527
202006 104.794 108.767 126.962
202009 100.607 109.815 120.727
202012 -46.784 109.897 -56.098
202103 169.682 111.754 200.082
202106 141.362 114.631 162.505
202109 110.097 115.734 125.358
202112 74.276 117.630 83.209
202203 179.852 121.301 195.383
202206 136.452 125.017 143.830
202209 73.265 125.227 77.097
202212 38.777 125.222 40.807
202303 81.248 127.348 84.073
202306 94.608 128.729 96.848
202309 44.236 129.860 44.889
202312 16.983 129.419 17.292
202403 107.137 131.776 107.137

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


United Parcel Service  (UKEX:UPS) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


United Parcel Service Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


United Parcel Service (UKEX:UPS) Business Description

Address
55 Glenlake Parkway, N.E. Atlanta, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30328
As the world's largest parcel delivery company, UPS manages a massive fleet of more than 500 planes and 100,000 vehicles, along with many hundreds of sorting facilities, to deliver an average of about 25 million packages per day to residences and businesses across the globe. UPS' domestic U.S. package operations generate around 64% of total revenue while international package makes up 20%. Air and ocean freight forwarding, truckload brokerage, and contract logistics make up the remainder.

United Parcel Service (UKEX:UPS) Headlines