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China Southern Airlines Co (STU:ZNHH) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 9.48 (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is China Southern Airlines Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-06-06), China Southern Airlines Co's current share price is €0.379. China Southern Airlines Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €0.04. China Southern Airlines Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 9.48.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Southern Airlines Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

STU:ZNHH' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 8.04   Med: 15.35   Max: 175.57
Current: 8.56

During the past years, China Southern Airlines Co's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 175.57. The lowest was 8.04. And the median was 15.35.

STU:ZNHH's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked better than
75.06% of 429 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 17.7 vs STU:ZNHH: 8.56

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

China Southern Airlines Co's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €0.042. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €0.04 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


China Southern Airlines Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Southern Airlines Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Southern Airlines Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

China Southern Airlines Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.46 13.85 13.76 15.64 9.20

China Southern Airlines Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.26 10.11 9.97 9.20 8.17

Competitive Comparison of China Southern Airlines Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Airlines subindustry, China Southern Airlines Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Southern Airlines Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, China Southern Airlines Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Southern Airlines Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



China Southern Airlines Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

China Southern Airlines Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=0.379/0.04
=9.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Southern Airlines Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, China Southern Airlines Co's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=0.042/115.2271*115.2271
=0.042

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 115.2271.

China Southern Airlines Co Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -0.006 98.200 -0.007
201409 0.101 98.900 0.118
201412 0.019 99.000 0.022
201503 0.022 99.900 0.025
201506 0.079 99.500 0.091
201509 0.103 100.500 0.118
201512 -0.003 100.600 -0.003
201603 0.022 102.200 0.025
201606 0.063 101.400 0.072
201609 0.079 102.400 0.089
201612 -0.058 102.600 -0.065
201703 0.015 103.200 0.017
201706 0.032 103.100 0.036
201709 0.050 104.100 0.055
201712 0.000 104.500 0.000
201803 0.021 105.300 0.023
201806 -0.022 104.900 -0.024
201809 0.034 106.600 0.037
201812 -0.082 106.500 -0.089
201903 -0.001 107.700 -0.001
201906 0.029 107.700 0.031
201909 0.115 109.800 0.121
201912 0.116 111.200 0.120
202003 -0.100 112.300 -0.103
202006 0.020 110.400 0.021
202009 0.065 111.700 0.067
202012 -0.016 111.500 -0.017
202103 -0.036 112.662 -0.037
202106 0.041 111.769 0.042
202109 -0.010 112.215 -0.010
202112 -0.027 113.108 -0.028
202203 -0.029 114.335 -0.029
202206 0.022 114.558 0.022
202209 0.007 115.339 0.007
202212 -0.064 115.116 -0.064
202303 0.045 115.116 0.045
202306 0.058 114.558 0.058
202309 0.071 115.339 0.071
202312 0.002 114.781 0.002
202403 0.042 115.227 0.042

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


China Southern Airlines Co  (STU:ZNHH) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


China Southern Airlines Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

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China Southern Airlines Co (STU:ZNHH) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
68 Qixin Road, China Southern Air Building, Baiyun District, Guangdong Province, Guangzhou, CHN, 510403
China Southern Airlines is based in Guangzhou and is one of the three largest state-owned airlines in China. The group operated a fleet of 894 aircraft as of 2022 and carried more than 150 million passengers in prepandemic 2019, ranking first in Asia. It runs a spoke-and-hub model under which it gathers and distributes passengers from air hubs like Guangzhou and Beijing. The group's route network extends to over 243 destinations and 44 countries and regions.

China Southern Airlines Co (STU:ZNHH) Headlines

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