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Toll Brothers (STU:TLK) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : €5.11 (As of Jan. 2024)


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What is Toll Brothers Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Toll Brothers's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was €-2.769. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €5.11 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Toll Brothers's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 43.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 49.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 53.10% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 25.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Toll Brothers was 67.30% per year. The lowest was -36.70% per year. And the median was 5.70% per year.

As of today (2024-05-27), Toll Brothers's current stock price is €112.95. Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 was €5.11. Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 22.10.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Toll Brothers was 85.18. The lowest was 10.90. And the median was 44.31.


Toll Brothers Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Toll Brothers Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Toll Brothers Annual Data
Trend Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.75 1.44 2.41 3.93 5.10

Toll Brothers Quarterly Data
Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.99 4.47 5.10 5.11 -

Competitive Comparison of Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Toll Brothers Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Toll Brothers's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jan. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2024)
=-2.769/130.1244*130.1244
=-2.769

Current CPI (Jan. 2024) = 130.1244.

Toll Brothers Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201404 0.704 100.023 0.916
201407 0.400 100.520 0.518
201410 1.143 100.176 1.485
201501 -0.168 98.604 -0.222
201504 -0.039 99.824 -0.051
201507 -0.367 100.691 -0.474
201510 0.816 100.346 1.058
201601 -0.125 99.957 -0.163
201604 0.008 100.947 0.010
201607 -1.698 101.524 -2.176
201610 2.491 101.988 3.178
201701 0.098 102.456 0.124
201704 1.162 103.167 1.466
201707 0.779 103.278 0.981
201710 2.313 104.070 2.892
201801 -1.711 104.578 -2.129
201804 -0.007 105.708 -0.009
201807 1.325 106.324 1.622
201810 3.813 106.695 4.650
201901 -1.212 106.200 -1.485
201904 0.446 107.818 0.538
201907 0.560 108.250 0.673
201910 2.453 108.577 2.940
202001 -2.533 108.841 -3.028
202004 1.081 108.173 1.300
202007 2.107 109.318 2.508
202010 5.486 109.861 6.498
202101 0.263 110.364 0.310
202104 -0.286 112.673 -0.330
202107 2.728 115.183 3.082
202110 5.792 116.696 6.459
202201 -2.153 118.619 -2.362
202204 0.429 121.978 0.458
202207 -0.499 125.002 -0.519
202210 10.866 125.734 11.245
202301 -3.119 126.223 -3.215
202304 3.931 127.992 3.996
202307 4.189 128.974 4.226
202310 5.002 129.810 5.014
202401 -2.769 130.124 -2.769

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Toll Brothers  (STU:TLK) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=112.95/5.11
=22.10

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Toll Brothers was 85.18. The lowest was 10.90. And the median was 44.31.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Toll Brothers Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Toll Brothers's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Toll Brothers (STU:TLK) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1140 Virginia Drive, Fort Washington, PA, USA, 19034
Toll Brothers is the leading luxury homebuilder in the United States with an average sale price well above public competitors'. The company operates in over 60 markets across 24 states and caters to move-up, active-adult, and second-home buyers. Traditional homebuilding operations represent most of company's revenue. Toll Brothers also builds luxury for-sale and for-rent properties in urban centers across the U.S. It has its headquarters in Horsham, Pennsylvania.

Toll Brothers (STU:TLK) Headlines