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Microsoft (Microsoft) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $6.60 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Microsoft's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was $2.806. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $6.60 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Microsoft's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.90% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.20% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Microsoft was 39.00% per year. The lowest was 7.00% per year. And the median was 11.90% per year.

As of today (2024-05-20), Microsoft's current stock price is $420.21. Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was $6.60. Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 63.67.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Microsoft was 71.78. The lowest was 13.66. And the median was 31.94.


Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Microsoft Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.67 3.99 4.61 5.48 6.06

Microsoft Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.80 6.06 6.28 6.34 6.60

Competitive Comparison of Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Microsoft's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=2.806/131.7762*131.7762
=2.806

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Microsoft Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 1.011 100.560 1.325
201409 0.847 100.428 1.111
201412 0.343 99.070 0.456
201503 0.997 99.621 1.319
201506 0.623 100.684 0.815
201509 0.930 100.392 1.221
201512 0.446 99.792 0.589
201603 1.009 100.470 1.323
201606 0.733 101.688 0.950
201609 1.192 101.861 1.542
201612 0.550 101.863 0.712
201703 1.147 102.862 1.469
201706 1.117 103.349 1.424
201709 1.322 104.136 1.673
201712 0.686 104.011 0.869
201803 1.183 105.290 1.481
201806 0.956 106.317 1.185
201809 1.295 106.507 1.602
201812 0.669 105.998 0.832
201903 1.415 107.251 1.739
201906 1.559 108.070 1.901
201909 1.353 108.329 1.646
201912 0.928 108.420 1.128
202003 1.790 108.902 2.166
202006 1.820 108.767 2.205
202009 1.889 109.815 2.267
202012 1.095 109.897 1.313
202103 2.250 111.754 2.653
202106 2.145 114.631 2.466
202109 2.475 115.734 2.818
202112 1.140 117.630 1.277
202203 2.661 121.301 2.891
202206 2.366 125.017 2.494
202209 2.260 125.227 2.378
202212 0.656 125.222 0.690
202303 2.389 127.348 2.472
202306 2.656 128.729 2.719
202309 2.769 129.860 2.810
202312 1.221 129.419 1.243
202403 2.806 131.776 2.806

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Microsoft  (NAS:MSFT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=420.21/6.6
=63.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Microsoft was 71.78. The lowest was 13.66. And the median was 31.94.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Microsoft (Microsoft) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Microsoft Corp (NAS:MSFT) » Definitions » Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Address
One Microsoft Way, Redmond, WA, USA, 98052-6399
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
Executives
Kathleen T Hogan officer: EVP, Human Resources C/O MICROSOFT CORPORATION, ONE MICROSOFT WAY, REDMOND WA 98052-6399
Judson Althoff officer: EVP, Chief Commercial Officer MICROSOFT CORPORATION, ONE MICROSOFT WAY, REDMOND WA 98052
Satya Nadella director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O MICROSOFT CORPORATION, ONE MICROSOFT WAY, REDMOND WA 98052-6399
Bradford L Smith officer: Executive Vice President MICROSOFT CORPORATION, ONE MICROSOFT WAY, REDMOND WA 98052-6399
Teri List director 2200 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, SUITE 800W, WASHINGTON DC 20037
Christopher C Capossela officer: EVP, Chief Marketing Officer C/O MICROSOFT CORPORATION, ONE MICROSOFT WAY, REDMOND WA 98052-6399
Amy Hood officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MICROSOFT CORPORATION, ONE MICROSOFT WAY, REDMOND WA 98052-6399
Emma N Walmsley director C/O MICROSOFT CORPORATION, ONE MICROSOFT WAY, REDMOND WA 98052-6399
Carlos A Rodriguez director 10200 SUNSET DRIVE, MIAMI FL 33173
Christopher David Young officer: EVP, Business Development C/O MICROSOFT CORPORATION, ONE MICROSOFT WAY, REDMOND WA 98052-6399
John W Stanton director 3650 131ST AVE SE #400, WESTERN WIRELESS CORP, BELLEVUE WA 98006
Charles W Scharf director C/O VISA INC., 900 METRO CENTER BLVD., FOSTER CITY CA 94404
Hugh F Johnston director PEPSICO, INC., 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, PURCHASE NY 10577
Reid Hoffman director C/O LINKEDIN CORPORATION, 2029 STIERLIN COURT, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Sandra E Peterson director 100 PARSONS POND DRIVE, FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417