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JD.com (HKSE:09618) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : HK$3.94 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is JD.com Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

JD.com's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$-5.087. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is HK$3.94 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, JD.com's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 78.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

As of today (2024-05-26), JD.com's current stock price is HK$119.60. JD.com's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$3.94. JD.com's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 30.36.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of JD.com was 91.60. The lowest was 19.27. And the median was 49.85.


JD.com Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for JD.com's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

JD.com Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

JD.com Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 3.18 4.40

JD.com Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.19 3.69 4.11 4.40 3.94

Competitive Comparison of JD.com's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Internet Retail subindustry, JD.com's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


JD.com's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, JD.com's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where JD.com's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



JD.com Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, JD.com's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=-5.087/115.2271*115.2271
=-5.087

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 115.2271.

JD.com Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -0.180 98.200 -0.211
201409 0.130 98.900 0.151
201412 -0.803 99.000 -0.935
201503 0.264 99.900 0.305
201506 0.095 99.500 0.110
201509 -0.610 100.500 -0.699
201512 -0.475 100.600 -0.544
201603 0.420 102.200 0.474
201606 0.245 101.400 0.278
201609 1.143 102.400 1.286
201612 -0.950 102.600 -1.067
201703 0.743 103.200 0.830
201706 3.491 103.100 3.902
201709 -1.392 104.100 -1.541
201712 0.242 104.500 0.267
201803 -1.592 105.300 -1.742
201806 2.469 104.900 2.712
201809 -1.240 106.600 -1.340
201812 0.352 106.500 0.381
201903 0.466 107.700 0.499
201906 3.580 107.700 3.830
201909 0.112 109.800 0.118
201912 -2.452 111.200 -2.541
202003 -0.655 112.300 -0.672
202006 4.274 110.400 4.461
202009 1.837 111.700 1.895
202012 -0.160 111.500 -0.165
202103 -4.078 112.662 -4.171
202106 9.934 111.769 10.241
202109 2.829 112.215 2.905
202112 -1.071 113.108 -1.091
202203 -2.795 114.335 -2.817
202206 10.411 114.558 10.472
202209 1.352 115.339 1.351
202212 3.485 115.116 3.488
202303 -9.770 115.116 -9.779
202306 16.068 114.558 16.162
202309 3.388 115.339 3.385
202312 3.942 114.781 3.957
202403 -5.087 115.227 -5.087

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


JD.com  (HKSE:09618) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

JD.com's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=119.60/3.94
=30.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of JD.com was 91.60. The lowest was 19.27. And the median was 49.85.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


JD.com Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of JD.com's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


JD.com (HKSE:09618) Business Description

Industry
Address
No. 18 Kechuang 11 Street, 20th Floor, Building A, Yizhuang Economic and Technological Development Zo, Daxing District, Beijing, CHN, 101111
JD.com is a leading e-commerce platform with its 2022 China GMV being similar to Pinduoduo (GMV not reported), on our estimate, but still lower than Alibaba. it offers a wide selection of authentic products with speedy and reliable delivery. The company has built its own nationwide fulfilment infrastructure and last-mile delivery network, staffed by its own employees, which supports both its online direct sales, its online marketplace and omnichannel businesses.
Executives
Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. 2502 Approved lending agent

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