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Microsoft (HKSE:04338) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : HK$25.10 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Microsoft's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$21.950. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is HK$25.10 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Microsoft's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.90% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.20% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Microsoft was 39.00% per year. The lowest was 7.00% per year. And the median was 11.90% per year.

As of today (2024-06-08), Microsoft's current stock price is HK$1600.00. Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$25.10. Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 63.75.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Microsoft was 71.78. The lowest was 13.66. And the median was 32.32.


Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Microsoft Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.44 9.80 17.02 34.14 28.47

Microsoft Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 32.19 28.47 31.82 26.98 25.10

Competitive Comparison of Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Microsoft's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=21.95/131.7762*131.7762
=21.950

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Microsoft Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 7.837 100.560 10.270
201409 6.565 100.428 8.614
201412 2.664 99.070 3.543
201503 7.733 99.621 10.229
201506 4.829 100.684 6.320
201509 7.209 100.392 9.463
201512 3.460 99.792 4.569
201603 7.832 100.470 10.272
201606 5.687 101.688 7.370
201609 9.243 101.861 11.958
201612 4.266 101.863 5.519
201703 8.911 102.862 11.416
201706 8.711 103.349 11.107
201709 10.326 104.136 13.067
201712 5.360 104.011 6.791
201803 9.273 105.290 11.606
201806 7.500 106.317 9.296
201809 10.146 106.507 12.553
201812 5.227 105.998 6.498
201903 11.104 107.251 13.643
201906 12.199 108.070 14.875
201909 10.602 108.329 12.897
201912 7.240 108.420 8.800
202003 13.898 108.902 16.817
202006 14.106 108.767 17.090
202009 14.641 109.815 17.569
202012 8.491 109.897 10.181
202103 17.468 111.754 20.598
202106 16.646 114.631 19.136
202109 19.259 115.734 21.928
202112 8.893 117.630 9.963
202203 20.814 121.301 22.611
202206 18.572 125.017 19.576
202209 17.738 125.227 18.666
202212 5.104 125.222 5.371
202303 18.753 127.348 19.405
202306 20.802 128.729 21.294
202309 21.681 129.860 22.001
202312 9.535 129.419 9.709
202403 21.950 131.776 21.950

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Microsoft  (HKSE:04338) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=1600.00/25.1
=63.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Microsoft was 71.78. The lowest was 13.66. And the median was 32.32.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Microsoft (HKSE:04338) Business Description

Industry
Address
One Microsoft Way, Redmond, WA, USA, 98052-6399
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

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