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Norfolk Southern (FRA:NFS) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : €6.48 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Norfolk Southern Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Norfolk Southern's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €1.147. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €6.48 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Norfolk Southern's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -0.10% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.10% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 15.40% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.80% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Norfolk Southern was 23.90% per year. The lowest was -11.00% per year. And the median was 11.50% per year.

As of today (2024-06-07), Norfolk Southern's current stock price is €204.00. Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €6.48. Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 31.48.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Norfolk Southern was 58.44. The lowest was 24.67. And the median was 37.72.


Norfolk Southern Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Norfolk Southern Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Norfolk Southern Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.75 3.73 5.08 6.42 6.27

Norfolk Southern Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.42 6.53 6.75 6.27 6.48

Competitive Comparison of Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Railroads subindustry, Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Norfolk Southern Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Norfolk Southern's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=1.147/131.7762*131.7762
=1.147

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Norfolk Southern Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 0.991 100.560 1.299
201409 0.842 100.428 1.105
201412 -0.442 99.070 -0.588
201503 0.713 99.621 0.943
201506 1.097 100.684 1.436
201509 -0.542 100.392 -0.711
201512 0.281 99.792 0.371
201603 1.445 100.470 1.895
201606 0.057 101.688 0.074
201609 1.536 101.861 1.987
201612 0.448 101.863 0.580
201703 1.303 102.862 1.669
201706 0.878 103.349 1.120
201709 1.324 104.136 1.675
201712 1.116 104.011 1.414
201803 1.228 105.290 1.537
201806 1.681 106.317 2.084
201809 1.750 106.507 2.165
201812 0.699 105.998 0.869
201903 1.360 107.251 1.671
201906 1.852 108.070 2.258
201909 1.821 108.329 2.215
201912 1.272 108.420 1.546
202003 2.060 108.902 2.493
202006 1.501 108.767 1.819
202009 2.291 109.815 2.749
202012 1.384 109.897 1.660
202103 2.494 111.754 2.941
202106 2.390 114.631 2.747
202109 2.822 115.734 3.213
202112 1.808 117.630 2.025
202203 2.287 121.301 2.484
202206 2.266 125.017 2.389
202209 4.178 125.227 4.397
202212 0.540 125.222 0.568
202303 3.048 127.348 3.154
202306 0.619 128.729 0.634
202309 0.462 129.860 0.469
202312 -0.730 129.419 -0.743
202403 1.147 131.776 1.147

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Norfolk Southern  (FRA:NFS) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=204.00/6.48
=31.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Norfolk Southern was 58.44. The lowest was 24.67. And the median was 37.72.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Norfolk Southern Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Norfolk Southern's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Norfolk Southern (FRA:NFS) Business Description

Industry
Address
650 West Peachtree Street NW, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30308
Class-I railroad Norfolk Southern operates in the Eastern United States. On more than 20,000 miles of track, the firm hauls shipments of coal, intermodal traffic, and a diverse mix of automobile, agriculture, metal, chemical, and forest products.

Norfolk Southern (FRA:NFS) Headlines

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