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Post Holdings (FRA:2PO) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : €5.69 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Post Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Post Holdings's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €2.054. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €5.69 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Post Holdings's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 15.50% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 7.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Post Holdings was 7.50% per year. The lowest was 7.50% per year. And the median was 7.50% per year.

As of today (2024-05-21), Post Holdings's current stock price is €96.50. Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €5.69. Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 16.96.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Post Holdings was 18.48. The lowest was 12.11. And the median was 15.35.


Post Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Post Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Post Holdings Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 3.91 4.35 5.31 5.38

Post Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.90 5.06 5.38 5.22 5.69

Competitive Comparison of Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Post Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Post Holdings's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=2.054/131.7762*131.7762
=2.054

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Post Holdings Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 0.069 100.560 0.090
201409 1.117 100.428 1.466
201412 0.546 99.070 0.726
201503 1.084 99.621 1.434
201506 1.093 100.684 1.431
201509 2.190 100.392 2.875
201512 0.937 99.792 1.237
201603 1.037 100.470 1.360
201606 1.734 101.688 2.247
201609 1.213 101.861 1.569
201612 -0.604 101.863 -0.781
201703 -0.472 102.862 -0.605
201706 2.307 103.349 2.942
201709 1.317 104.136 1.667
201712 1.725 104.011 2.185
201803 0.210 105.290 0.263
201806 3.099 106.317 3.841
201809 0.510 106.507 0.631
201812 1.872 105.998 2.327
201903 -1.065 107.251 -1.309
201906 2.732 108.070 3.331
201909 1.365 108.329 1.660
201912 0.388 108.420 0.472
202003 -0.778 108.902 -0.941
202006 3.553 108.767 4.305
202009 1.823 109.815 2.188
202012 0.745 109.897 0.893
202103 0.036 111.754 0.042
202106 2.476 114.631 2.846
202109 1.899 115.734 2.162
202112 0.691 117.630 0.774
202203 -0.136 121.301 -0.148
202206 0.174 125.017 0.183
202209 1.209 125.227 1.272
202212 0.660 125.222 0.695
202303 0.276 127.348 0.286
202306 2.873 128.729 2.941
202309 2.328 129.860 2.362
202312 1.275 129.419 1.298
202403 2.054 131.776 2.054

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Post Holdings  (FRA:2PO) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=96.50/5.69
=16.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Post Holdings was 18.48. The lowest was 12.11. And the median was 15.35.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Post Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Post Holdings (FRA:2PO) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2503 South Hanley Road, St. Louis, MO, USA, 63144
Post Holdings Inc is an consumer packaged goods holding company. It operates in Post Consumer Brands which Includes branded and private label ready-to-eat cereals, Weetabix it Includes the businesses of Weetabix Limited, which Post acquired in July 2017 and which produces and distributes branded and private label RTE cereal, hot cereals and other cereal-based food products, Foodservice which Includes primarily egg and potato products in the foodservice and food ingredient channels from the businesses of MFI Holding Corporation, lastly Refrigerated Retail segment Provides refrigerated retail products, inclusive of side dishes, eggs and egg products, sausage, cheese and other dairy and refrigerated products.

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