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BP (BP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $2.73 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is BP Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

BP's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $1.784. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $2.73 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, BP's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 38.50% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 72.60% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 52.30% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 2.20% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of BP was 72.60% per year. The lowest was -30.70% per year. And the median was 22.00% per year.

As of today (2024-05-01), BP's current stock price is $38.77. BP's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $2.73. BP's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 14.20.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of BP was 154.65. The lowest was 12.38. And the median was 32.91.


BP Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for BP's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

BP Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

BP Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.48 0.56 0.89 1.91 2.73

BP Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.91 2.15 2.39 2.48 2.73

Competitive Comparison of BP's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, BP's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BP's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, BP's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BP's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



BP Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, BP's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=1.784/130.0000*130.0000
=1.784

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 130.0000.

BP Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 0.755 99.300 0.988
201406 0.576 99.800 0.750
201409 1.344 100.000 1.747
201412 0.433 99.900 0.563
201503 -0.910 99.600 -1.188
201506 0.576 100.100 0.748
201509 0.270 100.200 0.350
201512 0.222 100.400 0.287
201603 -0.815 100.400 -1.055
201606 -0.128 101.000 -0.165
201609 -0.276 101.500 -0.353
201612 -0.700 102.200 -0.890
201703 -0.523 102.700 -0.662
201706 0.215 103.500 0.270
201709 0.570 104.300 0.710
201712 0.446 105.000 0.552
201803 0.018 105.100 0.022
201806 0.845 105.900 1.037
201809 0.721 106.600 0.879
201812 0.258 107.100 0.313
201903 0.474 107.000 0.576
201906 0.876 107.900 1.055
201909 0.619 108.400 0.742
201912 1.081 108.500 1.295
202003 -0.844 108.600 -1.010
202006 0.213 108.800 0.255
202009 0.778 109.200 0.926
202012 -0.194 109.400 -0.231
202103 0.909 109.700 1.077
202106 0.877 111.400 1.023
202109 0.986 112.400 1.140
202112 1.005 114.700 1.139
202203 1.724 116.500 1.924
202206 2.507 120.500 2.705
202209 1.647 122.300 1.751
202212 3.261 125.300 3.383
202303 1.478 126.800 1.515
202306 0.952 129.400 0.956
202309 1.803 130.100 1.802
202312 1.784 130.000 1.784

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


BP  (NYSE:BP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

BP's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=38.77/2.73
=14.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of BP was 154.65. The lowest was 12.38. And the median was 32.91.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


BP Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of BP's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


BP (BP) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » BP PLC (NYSE:BP) » Definitions » Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Address
1 St James's Square, London, GBR, SW1Y 4PD
BP is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil around the world. In 2022, it produced 1.1 million barrels of liquids and 6.9 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2022, reserves stood at 7.2 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 56% of which are liquids. The company operates refineries with a capacity of 1.6 million barrels of oil per day. BP also holds a 20% ownership interest in Rosneft, which it plans to exit.
Executives
Karen Richardson Non-Executive Director

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