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Harley-Davidson (FRA:HAR) Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share : €15.55 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Book Value per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Harley-Davidson's adjusted book value per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €22.405. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is €15.55 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Harley-Davidson's average Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate was 5.30% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate was 8.10% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate was 5.90% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate was 3.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate of Harley-Davidson was 23.10% per year. The lowest was 0.80% per year. And the median was 8.10% per year.

As of today (2024-05-17), Harley-Davidson's current stock price is €33.03. Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €15.55. Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of today is 2.12.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of Harley-Davidson was 6.13. The lowest was 1.17. And the median was 3.35.


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Chart

Harley-Davidson Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.48 10.40 12.22 13.96 14.87

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.28 14.38 15.16 14.87 15.55

Competitive Comparison of Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.



Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Book Value per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Book Value per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the book value per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 book value per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent book value in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's book value is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent book value in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's book value is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 book value in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent book value per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Harley-Davidson's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_Book= Book Value per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=22.405/131.7762*131.7762
=22.405

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201406 11.393 100.560 14.930
201409 11.895 100.428 15.608
201412 11.136 99.070 14.812
201503 13.033 99.621 17.240
201506 13.080 100.684 17.119
201509 11.887 100.392 15.603
201512 9.142 99.792 12.072
201603 9.386 100.470 12.311
201606 10.060 101.688 13.037
201609 10.042 101.861 12.991
201612 10.346 101.863 13.384
201703 10.648 102.862 13.641
201706 10.675 103.349 13.611
201709 9.257 104.136 11.714
201712 9.271 104.011 11.746
201803 9.643 105.290 12.069
201806 11.109 106.317 13.769
201809 11.331 106.507 14.019
201812 9.767 105.998 12.142
201903 9.921 107.251 12.190
201906 10.544 108.070 12.857
201909 10.391 108.329 12.640
201912 10.649 108.420 12.943
202003 10.005 108.902 12.107
202006 9.420 108.767 11.413
202009 9.812 109.815 11.774
202012 9.260 109.897 11.104
202103 10.821 111.754 12.760
202106 11.793 114.631 13.557
202109 12.900 115.734 14.688
202112 14.714 117.630 16.484
202203 14.742 121.301 16.015
202206 16.128 125.017 17.000
202209 18.556 125.227 19.527
202212 18.791 125.222 19.775
202303 19.707 127.348 20.392
202306 20.073 128.729 20.548
202309 22.115 129.860 22.441
202312 21.882 129.419 22.280
202403 22.405 131.776 22.405

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.


Harley-Davidson  (FRA:HAR) Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share may underestimate the company's equity. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual PB Ratio is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, the book value of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/B calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is also called CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=33.03/15.55
=2.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of Harley-Davidson was 6.13. The lowest was 1.17. And the median was 3.35.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real book value.


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Harley-Davidson (FRA:HAR) Business Description

Address
3700 West Juneau Avenue, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53208
Harley-Davidson is a global leading manufacturer of heavyweight motorcycles, merchandise, parts, and accessories. It sells custom, cruiser, and touring motorcycles and offers a complete line of Harley-Davidson motorcycle parts, accessories, riding gear, and apparel, as well as merchandise. Harley-Davidson Financial Services provides wholesale financing to dealers and retail financing and insurance brokerage services to customers. Harley has historically captured about half of all heavyweight domestic retail motorcycle registrations, a metric it had ceded in 2020 as it repositioned the business, and has yet to restore (at 39% in the third quarter). In recent years the firm has expanded into the adventure touring market with its Pan America model and into electric with the LiveWire brand.

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