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Vectren (Vectren) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 1.17% (As of Sep. 2018)


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What is Vectren Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Vectren's forward rate of return for was 1.17%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vectren's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

VVC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Utilities - Regulated industry.
Industry Median: 6.365
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Vectren Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Vectren's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Vectren Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Vectren Annual Data
Trend Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.14 4.89 4.50 3.42 4.27

Vectren Quarterly Data
Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.23 4.27 3.94 2.67 1.17

Competitive Comparison of Vectren's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, Vectren's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vectren's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Vectren's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vectren's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Vectren Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Vectren's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2018 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-0.23009524/71.49+0.0149
=1.17 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Vectren  (NYSE:VVC) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Vectren Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Vectren's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Vectren (Vectren) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Vectren Corp is an energy holding company whose principal business is the ownership of energy utility companies in the American state of Indiana. Vectren Corp has three wholly owned subsidiaries: Indiana Gas Company, Southern Indiana Gas and Electric Company (SIGECO), and Vectren Energy Delivery of Ohio (VEDO). The company derives roughly half of its total revenue from both the natural gas and electricity distribution services provided by SIGECO and VEDO to primarily residential and commercial consumers in Indiana. Vectren Corp's Infrastructure Services business represents the other half of its total revenue generation. Within this unit, the company provides underground pipeline construction and repair services to utilities companies, such as its own subsidiaries.
Executives
Teresa J. Tanner director 38 FOUNTAIN SQUARE PLAZA, MD 10AT76, CINCINNATI OH 45263
Michael L Smith director C/O AGILON HEALTH, INC., 6210 E HWY 290, SUITE 450, AUSTIN TX 78723
M Susan Hardwick officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer C/O AMERICAN WATER WORKS COMPANY, INC., 1 WATER STREET, CAMDEN NJ 08102-1658
Robert G Jones director OLD NATIONAL BANCORP, ONE MAIN STREET, EVANSVILLE IN 47708
Jean L Wojtowicz director C/O VECTREN CORP, 20 NW FOURTH STREET, EVANVILLE IN 47711
Anton H George director C/O VECTREN CORP, 20 NW FOURTH STREET, EVANVILLE IN 47711
Degraffenreidt James H Jr director 1100 H ST NW, WASHINGTON DC 20080
Martin C Jischke director 1031 HOVDE HALL, W LAFAYETTE IN 47907
Niel C Ellerbrook director C/O OLD NATIONAL BANCORP, ONE MAIN STREET, EVANVILLE IN 47708
William G Mays director WELLPOINT, INC, 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Koch Robert L Ii director