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Petco Health and Wellness Co (Petco Health and Wellness Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 1.21% (As of May. 17, 2024)


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What is Petco Health and Wellness Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Petco Health and Wellness Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 1.21%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Petco Health and Wellness Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Petco Health and Wellness Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Petco Health and Wellness Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Petco Health and Wellness Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Petco Health and Wellness Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Petco Health and Wellness Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-4.40

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=1.21%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Petco Health and Wellness Co  (NAS:WOOF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Petco Health and Wellness Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Petco Health and Wellness Co (Petco Health and Wellness Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
10850 Via Frontera, San Diego, CA, USA, 92127
Petco Health and Wellness Co Inc offer pet care products such as puppy food, treats, nutrition, and supplies through retail outlets and online platforms. The company generates revenue from the sale of products and services such as dog and cat food, supplies, and companion animals, among others.
Executives
Gary S Briggs director 117 ADAMS STREET, C/O ETSY, BROOKLYN NY 11201
Giovanni Insana officer: See Remarks 10850 VIA FRONTERA, SAN DIEGO CA 92127
Iris Yen director 10850 VIA FRONTERA, SAN DIEGO CA 92127
David Lubek director 10850 VIA FRONTERA, SAN DIEGO CA 92127
Ron Coughlin director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 3000 HANOVER STREET, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Justin Tichy officer: Chief Stores Officer 10850 VIA FRONTERA, SAN DIEGO CA 92127
Jason Heffelfinger officer: Chief Services Officer 10850 VIA FRONTERA, SAN DIEGO CA 92127
Amy College officer: Chief Merchandising Officer 10850 VIA FRONTERA, SAN DIEGO CA 92127
Michael Nuzzo officer: EVP, CFO & COO 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Brian Larose officer: Chief Financial Officer 10850 VIA FRONTERA, SAN DIEGO CA 92127
Katherine Nauman officer: Chief Marketing Officer 10850 VIA FRONTERA, SAN DIEGO CA 92127
Cvc Pet Lp 10 percent owner ONE MARITIME PLAZA, 16TH FLOOR, 300 CLAY STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Scooby Aggregator, Lp 10 percent owner ONE MARITIME PLAZA, 16TH FLOOR, 300 CLAY STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board 10 percent owner ONE QUEEN STREET EAST, STE 2500, TORONTO ONTARIO A6 0000
Rajendra M Mohan director 1600 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY STE 200, C/O GOOD GUYS INC, ALAMEDA CA 94502