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Wolfspeed (Wolfspeed) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.18% (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Wolfspeed Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Wolfspeed's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.18%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Wolfspeed's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Semiconductors subindustry, Wolfspeed's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Wolfspeed's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Wolfspeed's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Wolfspeed's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Wolfspeed Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.32

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.18%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Wolfspeed  (NYSE:WOLF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Wolfspeed Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Wolfspeed (Wolfspeed) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Semiconductors » Wolfspeed Inc (NYSE:WOLF) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4600 Silicon Drive, Durham, NC, USA, 27703
Wolfspeed Inc is involved in the manufacturing of wide bandgap semiconductors. It is focused on silicon carbide and gallium nitride materials and devices for power and radio-frequency (RF) applications. The company serves applications such as transportation, power supplies, inverters, and wireless systems. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from Europe and also has a presence in the United States; China; Japan; South Korea, and other countries.
Executives
Neill Reynolds officer: Executive Vice President & CFO 4600 SILICON DR, DURHAM NC 27703
Le Duy Loan T director C/O NATIONAL INSTRUMENTS, 11500 MOPAC BLDG B, AUSTIN TX 78759
Gregg A Lowe director, officer: PRESIDENT, CEO AND DIRECTOR 400 W CESAR CHAVEZ STREET, AUSTIN TX 78701
John B Replogle director C/O SEALY CORPORATION, ONE OFFICE PARKWAY, TRINITY NC 27370
Stacy J Smith director 2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD., RNB-4-151, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Glenda Dorchak director C/O MELLANOX TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 350 OAKMEAD PARKWAY, SUITE 100, SUNNYVALE CA 94085
Clyde Hosein director C/O INTEGRATED DEVICE TECHNOLOGY, INC., 6024 SILVER CREEK VALLEY ROAD, SAN JOSE CA 95138
Marvin Riley director 5605 CARNEGIE BLVD., STE. 500, CHARLOTTE NC 28209
Thomas H Werner director 3939 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Anne Clem Whitaker director 109 BRIERY BRANCH COURT, MORRISVILLE NC 27560
John C Hodge director C/O SILICON IMAGE, INC., 1060 E. ARQUES AVE., SUNNYVALE CA 94085
David Todd Emerson officer: EVP, GM LED 4600 SILICON DRIVE, DURHAM NC 27703
Michael E Mcdevitt officer: INTER. CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 713 WALCOTT WAY, CARY NC 27519
Daniel J Castillo officer: EVP Cree & President-Lighting 2645 SILVER CRESCENT DRIVE, CHARLOTTE NC 28273
Darren R Jackson director C/O BEST BUY INC, 7075 FLYING CLOUD DR, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344