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Therapeutic Solutions International (Therapeutic Solutions International) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 12.21% (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Therapeutic Solutions International Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Therapeutic Solutions International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 12.21%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Therapeutic Solutions International's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Therapeutic Solutions International's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Therapeutic Solutions International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Therapeutic Solutions International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Therapeutic Solutions International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Therapeutic Solutions International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-1.97

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=12.21%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Therapeutic Solutions International  (OTCPK:TSOI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Therapeutic Solutions International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Therapeutic Solutions International (Therapeutic Solutions International) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
701 Wild Rose Lane, Elk City, ID, USA, 83525
Therapeutic Solutions International Inc focuses on immune modulation for the treatment of several specific diseases. It is engaged in developing a range of immune-modulatory agents to target certain cancers, improve maternal and fetal health, fight periodontal disease, and for daily health. The business divisions of the company are Nutraceutical Division which produces nutraceuticals. Its current product, QuadraMune, is a patented synergistic blend of pterostilbene, sulforaphane, epigallocatechingallate, and thymoquionone. Cellular Division obtained exclusive rights to a patented adult stem cell for the development of therapeutics in the area of chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE) and traumatic brain injury (TBI) and Lung Pathology (LP).
Executives
Thomas Ichim director 211 E. OSBORN RD, PHOENIX AZ 85012
Gerry B Berg officer: CFO 1658 AVENIDA LA POSTA, ENCINITAS CA 92024
Timothy G Dixon director, officer: Chairman, President, CEO 4093 OCEANSIDE BLVD., SUITE B, OCEANSIDE CA 92056
Barry Glassman officer: VP, Training & Education 2051 ELBOW LANE, ALLENTOWN PA 18103
James P Boyd director, 10 percent owner PO BOX 2145, RANCHO SANTA FE CA 92067

Therapeutic Solutions International (Therapeutic Solutions International) Headlines

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