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Tofutti Brands (Tofutti Brands) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.10% (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is Tofutti Brands Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Tofutti Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.10%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Tofutti Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Tofutti Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tofutti Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Tofutti Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tofutti Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Tofutti Brands Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.90

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.10%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Tofutti Brands  (OTCPK:TOFB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Tofutti Brands Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Tofutti Brands (Tofutti Brands) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
50 Jackson Drive, Cranford, NJ, USA, 07016
Tofutti Brands Inc is engaged in the development, production, and marketing of TOFUTTI brand non-dairy frozen desserts and other food products. It offers soy-based products, plant-based, dairy vegan, frozen desserts, soy-based cheeses and spreads, and other frozen food products. The company sells its dairy-free frozen dessert products, frozen entrees, and soy-cheese products in majorly markets in the United States, including Atlanta, Baltimore, Boston, Charlotte, Chicago, Cincinnati, and Cleveland. It distributes all of its products by common carrier or by allowing customers to pick up products from outside storage facilities.
Executives
Efraim Mintz director TOFUTTI BRANDS INC., 50 JACKSON DRIVE, CRANFORD NJ 07106
Joseph N Himy director 13-01 POLLITT DRIVE, FAIR LAWN NJ 07410
Scott Korman director C/O NASHONE, INC., 175 ELM ROAD, ENGLEWOOD NJ 07361
Neal S Axelrod director C/O TOFUTTI BRANDS INC., 50 JACKSON DRIVE, CRANFORD NJ 07016
Steven Kass officer: Chief Financial Officer 50 JACKSON DRIVE, CRANFORD NJ 07016
Philip Gotthelf director C/O TOFUTTI BRANDS INC., 50 JACKSON DRIVE, CRANFORD NJ 07016
Aron Forem director C/O WUHL SHAFMAN LIEBERMAN CO., 52-62 CORNELIA STREET, NEWARK NJ 07105
Joseph K Fischer director 50 JACKSON DRIVE, CRANFORD NJ 7016
Franklyn H Snitow director 575 LEXINGTON AVE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Jeremy Wiesen director
Reuben Rapoport director, officer: Director-Product Development
David Mintz director, 10 percent owner, officer: President & Chairman 50 JACKSON DRIVE, CRANFORD NJ 07016

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