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Whole Shine Medical Technology Co (SZSE:002622) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.22% (As of Jun. 10, 2024)


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What is Whole Shine Medical Technology Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Whole Shine Medical Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.22%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Whole Shine Medical Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Whole Shine Medical Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Whole Shine Medical Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Whole Shine Medical Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Whole Shine Medical Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Whole Shine Medical Technology Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.13

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.22%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Whole Shine Medical Technology Co  (SZSE:002622) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Whole Shine Medical Technology Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Whole Shine Medical Technology Co (SZSE:002622) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 98, Yingbin Road, Shiping District, Jilin Province, Jilin, CHN, 132013
Whole Shine Medical Technology Co Ltd is a China based company engaged in the businesses of electrical equipment, credit report big data, e-commerce big data, banking service, commercial factoring, financial leasing, and insurance brokerage service. In the electrical equipment business, the company offers electrical equipment products like Electronic control equipment, permanent magnet low-voltage switch products, permanent magnet high-voltage switch products, electronic energy meters, highway component facilities, and others.
Executives
Chen Ya Wei Independent director
Ma Zheng Xue Executives
Li Xiang Wen Director
Huang Jia Hui Directors, executives
Deng Qiang Executives
Li Gang Director
Lv Yong Xiang Directors, executives
Zhao Feng Directors, executives
Lv Lan Secretary, Director

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