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Starrex International (Starrex International) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 99.14% (As of Jun. 02, 2024)


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What is Starrex International Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Starrex International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 99.14%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Starrex International's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Mortgage Finance subindustry, Starrex International's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Starrex International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Starrex International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Starrex International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


Starrex International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=4.74

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=99.14%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Starrex International  (OTCPK:STXMF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Starrex International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Starrex International (Starrex International) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Starrex International Ltd (OTCPK:STXMF) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
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Traded in Other Exchanges
STX:Canada
Address
1250, 639 - 5th Avenue South West, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 0M9
Website
https://www.starrexintl.com
Starrex International Ltd is engaged in acquiring, managing, and growing companies in the United States active in the mortgage, real estate, and other financial sectors. it operates in three segments; Property Interlink, LLC managed residential appraisals and maintained all of the ordering, tracking, administrative duties and details and ensured the timeliness of appraisals that are handled during a real estate mortgage transaction, MFI Credit Solutions, LLC manages consumer credit reporting and maintains all of the ordering, tracking, administrative duties and details required to support consumer credit reporting activities, and Reliable Valuation Service, LLC provided residential evaluations of residential real estate to third parties.