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Sterling Check (Sterling Check) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Sterling Check Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Sterling Check's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Sterling Check's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Sterling Check's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sterling Check's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Sterling Check's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sterling Check's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Sterling Check Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.56

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Sterling Check  (NAS:STER) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Sterling Check Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Sterling Check (Sterling Check) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Sterling Check Corp (NAS:STER) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1 State Street Plaza, 24th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10004
Sterling Check Corp is a global provider of technology-enabled background and identity verification services. It offers a hiring and risk management solution that begins with identity verification, followed by criminal background screening, credential verification, drug and health screening, processing of employee documentation required for onboarding, and ongoing risk monitoring. Its services are delivered through a purpose-built, proprietary, cloud-based technology platform that empowers organizations with real-time and data-driven insights to conduct and manage their employment screening programs.
Executives
Goldman Sachs Group Inc 10 percent owner 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Adrian M Jones director C/O GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO., 85 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004
Steven L Barnett officer: See Remarks 6150 OAK TREE BOULEVARD, SUITE 490, INDEPENDENCE OH 44131
Kristin Ann Johnsen director 6150 OAK TREE BOULEVARD, SUITE 490, INDEPENDENCE OH 44131
Villon Bertrand Eric Arnaud director STERLING CHECK CORP, 6150 OAK TREE BOULEVARD, SUITE 490, INDEPENDENCE OH 44131
L Frederick Sutherland director STERLING CHECKCORP INC., 6150 OAK TREE BOULEVARD, SUITE 490, INDEPENDENCE OH 44131
Stonehill Robyn Price officer: See Remarks STERLING CHECKCORP INC., 1 STATE STREET PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10004
Crampton Christopher A.s. director 85 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004
William W Chen director STERLING ULTIMATE PARENT CORP., 1 STATE STREET PLAZA, 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10004
Mohit Kapoor director 6150 OAK TREE BOULEVARD, SUITE 490, INDEPENDENCE OH 44131
Goldman Sachs & Co. Llc 10 percent owner 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Ross M Cummings 10 percent owner STERLING ULTIMATE PARENT CORP., 1 STATE STREET PLAZA, 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10004
Broad Street Control Advisors, L.l.c. 10 percent owner 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Peter Walker officer: See Remarks STERLING CHECKCORP INC., 6150 OAK TREE BOULEVARD, SUITE 490, INDEPENDENCE OH 44131
Lou Paglia officer: See Remarks STERLING CHECKCORP INC, 6150 OAK TREE BOULEVARD, SUITE 490, INDEPENDENCE OH 44131