What is Span-America Medical Systems Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Span-America Medical Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Span-America Medical Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Medical Devices subindustry, Span-America Medical Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Span-America Medical Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry
For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Span-America Medical Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Span-America Medical Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Span-America Medical Systems Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Span-America Medical Systems (Span-America Medical Systems) Business Description
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Span-America Medical Systems Inc was incorporated under the laws of the state of South Carolina on September 21, 1970. The Company manufactures and distributes therapeutic support surfaces, mattress overlays, patient positioners, seating cushions, skin care products and fall prevention products for the medical market and pillows, mattress pads and various foam products for the custom products market throughout the United States and Canada. Its operations are divided into two main business units or segments: medical and custom products. The Company's main medical products consist of polyurethane foam mattress overlays, therapeutic support surfaces (which consist of non-powered and powered therapeutic support surfaces) and patient positioners as well as Selan (r) skin care, seating and fall protection products. The Company's custom products segment includes two product lines namely consumer bedding products and various engineered industrial products. The Company's consumer product line consists mainly of convoluted and contour-cut mattress overlays and specially designed pillows for the consumer bedding market. It sells these products mainly in North America to customers in the segments of the health care market, including acute care hospitals, long-term care facilities and home health care providers. The Company's manufacturing operations are subject to various government regulations pertaining to the discharge of materials into the environment.
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