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Sonder Holdings (Sonder Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 2.53% (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Sonder Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Sonder Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 2.53%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Sonder Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Lodging subindustry, Sonder Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sonder Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Sonder Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sonder Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Sonder Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-3.65

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=2.53%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Sonder Holdings  (NAS:SOND) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Sonder Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Sonder Holdings (Sonder Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
101 15th Street, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94103
Sonder Holdings Inc is engaged in providing short and long-term accommodations to travelers in various cities across North America, Europe, and the Middle East. The Sonder units in each apartment-style building and each hotel property are selected, designed, and managed directly by the Company. The Company generates revenues by providing short-term or month-to-month accommodations to its guests.
Executives
Christopher Michael Berry officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O SONDER HOLDINGS INC., 101 15TH ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Francis Davidson director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O SONDER HOLDINGS, INC., 101 15TH ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Philip L Rothenberg officer: General Counsel & Secretary C/O SONDER HOLDINGS, INC., 101 15TH ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Dominique Bourgault officer: Chief Financial Officer 6802 AZALEA WAY SE, SNOQUALMIE WA 98065
Prashant Aggarwal director C/O ARLO TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 350 EAST PLUMERIA DR, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Martin Picard officer: Global Head of Real Estate C/O SONDER HOLDINGS, INC., 101 15TH ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Michelle M Frymire director C/O SPIRIT REALTY CAPITAL, INC., 2727 N. HARWOOD STREET, SUITE 300, DALLAS TX 75201
Nabeel A Hyatt director C/O SONDER HOLDINGS, INC., 101 15TH ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Van Paasschen Frits D director C/O STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS WORLDWIDE, 1111 WESTCHESTER AVENUE, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Gilda Perez-alvarado director C/O SONDER HOLDINGS, INC., 101 15TH ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Janice L. Sears director 1100 PARK PLACE, SUITE 200, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Sanjay D Banker officer: President and CFO C/O SONDER HOLDINGS, INC., 101 15TH ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Ritesh K Patel officer: VP, Controller C/O SONDER HOLDINGS INC., 101 15TH ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Satyen J Pandya officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O SONDER HOLDINGS, INC., 101 15TH ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Manon Brouillette director 40 AVENUE SPRINGGROVE, MONTREAL Z4 H3C 4M8