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Sky Harbour Group (Sky Harbour Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.08% (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Sky Harbour Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Sky Harbour Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Sky Harbour Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Sky Harbour Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sky Harbour Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Sky Harbour Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sky Harbour Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Sky Harbour Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.11

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.08%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Sky Harbour Group  (AMEX:SKYH) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Sky Harbour Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Sky Harbour Group (Sky Harbour Group) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
136 Tower Road, Suite 205, Westchester County Airport, White Plains, NY, USA, 10604
Sky Harbour Group Corp is an aviation infrastructure company building nationwide network of Home-Basing solutions for business aircraft. The company develops, leases and manages business aviation hangars across the United States based on its proprietary targeting and acquisition model, targeting airfields with significant hangar supply and demand imbalances in the largest US markets. Its hangar campuses feature exclusive private hangars and a full suite of dedicated services specifically designed for home-based aircraft.
Executives
Alexander Buffett Rozek director, 10 percent owner 292 NEWBURY ST #333, BOSTON MA 02115
Walter Jackson director C/O SKY HARBOUR GROUP CORPORATION, 136 TOWER ROAD, HANGAR M, SUITE 205, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Alethia Nancoo director C/O SKY HARBOUR GROUP CORPORATION, 136 TOWER ROAD, HANGAR M, SUITE 205, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Lysa Leiponis director C/O SKY HARBOUR GROUP CORPORATION, 136 TOWER ROAD, HANGAR M, SUITE 205, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Robert S. Rivkin director C/O SKY HARBOUR GROUP CORPORATION, 136 TOWER ROAD, HANGAR M, SUITE 205, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Nick Wellmon director, 10 percent owner C/O SKY HARBOUR GROUP CORPORATION, 136 TOWER ROAD, HANGAR M, SUITE 205, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Tal Keinan director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O SKY HARBOUR GROUP CORPORATION, 136 TOWER ROAD, HANGAR M, SUITE 205, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Michael Weber Schmitt officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O SKY HARBOUR GROUP CORPORATION, 136 TOWER ROAD, HANGAR M, SUITE 205, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Francisco Gonzalez officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O SKY HARBOUR GROUP CORPORATION, 136 TOWER ROAD, HANGAR M, SUITE 205, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Alex Saltzman officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O SKY HARBOUR GROUP CORPORATION, 136 TOWER ROAD, HANGAR M, SUITE 205, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Gerald Adler officer: GC & Corporate Secretary C/O SKY HARBOUR GROUP CORPORATION, 136 TOWER ROAD, HANGAR M, SUITE 205, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Boc Yellowstone Ii Llc 10 percent owner 1601 DODGE STREET, SUITE 3300, OMAHA NE 68102
Glazer Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 250 WEST 55TH STREET, SUITE 30A, NEW YORK NY 10019
Paul J Glazer 10 percent owner 250 WEST 55TH ST, SUITE 30A, NEW YORK NY 10019
Boc Yellowstone Llc 10 percent owner 1411 HARNEY STREET, SUITE 200, OMAHA NE 68102

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