GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » RiverNorth Flexible Municipal Income Fund Inc (NYSE:RFM) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome Fund (RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome Fund) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of May. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1990. Start your Free Trial

What is RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.42

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome Fund  (NYSE:RFM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome Fund (RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome Fund) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
360 South Rosemary Avenue, Suite 1420, West Palm Beach, FL, USA, 33401
RiverNorth Flexible Municipal Income Fund Inc is a diversified, closed-end management investment company. Its primary investment objective is to seek current income exempt from regular U.S. federal income taxes. The fund's secondary investment objective is total return.
Executives
Lisa Bruckert Mougin director C/O RIVERNORTH CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 360 S. ROSEMARY AVE., SUITE 1420, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Rivernorth Capital Management, Llc other: Investment Adviser 360 S. ROSEMARY AVE, SUITE 1420, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Robert A Dimella other: Portfolio Manager 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Michael Petty other: Portfolio Manager 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
John J Lawlor other: Portfolio Manager 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Scott Sprauer other: Portfolio Manager 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
David Dowden other: Portfolio Manager 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NJ 10105
Patrick W. Galley director, officer: President 360 S. ROSEMARY AVE, SUITE 1420, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Brian H Schmucker other: Officer of Investment Adviser 325 NORTH LASALLE STREET, SUITE 645, CHICAGO IL 60654
John S. Oakes director 325 N. LASALLE STREET, SUITE 645, CHICAGO IL 60654
John Wayne Hutchens director 360 S. ROSEMARY AVE, SUITE 1420, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
David Swanson director 325 N. LASALLE ST., SUITE 645, CHICAGO IL 60654
Jerry Raio director 360 S. ROSEMARY AVE, SUITE 1420, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
John K Carter director 433 W. VAN BUREN STREET, SUITE 1150-E, CHICAGO IL 60607
Jonathan M. Mohrhardt other: Treasurer 325 N. LASALLE STREET, SUITE 645, CHICAGO IL 60654

RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome Fund (RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome Fund) Headlines

From GuruFocus