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Perdoceo Education (Perdoceo Education) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is Perdoceo Education Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Perdoceo Education's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Perdoceo Education's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, Perdoceo Education's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Perdoceo Education's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Education Industry

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Perdoceo Education's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Perdoceo Education's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Perdoceo Education Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.51

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Perdoceo Education  (NAS:PRDO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Perdoceo Education Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Perdoceo Education (Perdoceo Education) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1750 E. Golf Road, Schaumburg, IL, USA, 60173
Perdoceo Education Corp is an American for-profit education company that focuses on quality postsecondary education online to a diverse student population, along with campus-based and blended learning programs. The company's important segment is its online universities, which include the American InterContinental University, and Colorado Technical University. These online universities provide undergraduate, graduate, and doctoral degree programs focusing on business, technology, management, and social services. Career Education Corporation is focusing on its online universities as it continues to reduce its on-campus program offerings. The majority of the company's revenue comes from the Colorado Technical University segment.
Executives
Todd S Nelson director, officer: President & CEO PERDOCEO EDUCATION CORPORATION, 1750 E. GOLF ROAD, SCHAUMBURG IL 60173
John Robert Kline officer: SVP, AIU PERDOCEO EDUCATION CORPORATION, 1750 E. GOLF ROAD, SCHAUMBURG IL 60173
Michele A Peppers officer: Principal Accounting Officer PERDOCEO EDUCATION CORPORATION, 1750 E. GOLF ROAD, SCHAUMBURG IL 60173
Andrew Hurst officer: SVP PERDOCEO EDUCATION CORPORATION, 1750 E. GOLF ROAD, SCHAUMBURG IL 60173
Ashish R Ghia officer: Interim CFO PERDOCEO EDUCATION CORPORATION, 1750 E. GOLF ROAD, SCHAUMBURG IL 60173
David C. Czeszewski officer: SVP, CIO PERDOCEO EDUCATION CORPORATION, 1750 E. GOLF ROAD, SCHAUMBURG IL 60173
Patrick W Gross director
Gregory L. Jackson director 909 MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 400, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94133
Leslie T Thornton director 3921 COURTLAND CIRCLE, ALEXANDRIA VA 22305
Thomas B Lally director 231 N. MARTINGALE ROAD, SCHAUMBURG IL 60173
Elise Baskel officer: SVP, CTU 1750 E. GOLF ROAD, SCHAUMBURG IL 60173
Greg E. Jansen officer: SVP, General Counsel 1750 E. GOLF ROAD, SCHAUMBURG IL 60173
Jeffrey David Ayers officer: SVP PERDOCEO EDUCATION CORPORATION, 231 N. MARTINGALE ROAD, SCHAUMBURG IL 60173
Alan Dupree Wheat director PERDOCEO EDUCATION CORPORATION, 1750 E. GOLF ROAD, SCHAUMBURG IL 60173
Richard D Wang director C/O TENZING GLOBAL MANAGEMENT LLC, 388 MARKET STREET SUITE 860, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111