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Ohio Valley Banc (Ohio Valley Banc) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.07% (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is Ohio Valley Banc Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Ohio Valley Banc's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Ohio Valley Banc's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Ohio Valley Banc's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ohio Valley Banc's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Ohio Valley Banc's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ohio Valley Banc's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Ohio Valley Banc Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.25

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Ohio Valley Banc  (NAS:OVBC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Ohio Valley Banc Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Ohio Valley Banc (Ohio Valley Banc) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
420 Third Avenue, PO Box 240, Gallipolis, OH, USA, 45631
Ohio Valley Banc Corporation is a financial holding company. The bank is a full-service financial institution offering a blend of commercial and consumer banking services within Southeastern Ohio as well as western West Virginia. The banking services offered by the bank include the acceptance of deposits in checking, savings, time and money market accounts; the making and servicing of personal, commercial, and student loans; and the making of construction and real estate loans. It also offers individual retirement accounts, safe deposit boxes, wire transfers and other standard banking products and services. The bank segmented its operating activities into two reportable segments, Banking and Consumer Finance. The majority of its total revenue is derived from the Banking segment.
Executives
Edward Bryant Roberts director 420 THIRD AVENUE, PO BOX 240, GALLIPOLIS OH 45631
Bryan F Stepp officer: SVP and CCO 420 THIRD AVENUE, P O BOX 240, GALLIPOLIS OH 45631-0240
Anna P Barnitz director P.O. BOX 240, 420 3RD AVE., GALLIPOLIS OH 45631-0240
Edward Allen Bell other: Not a reporting person 5521 OHIO RIVER ROAD, POINT PLEASANT WV 25550
Ryan Joseph Jones officer: RISK OFFICER/COO 420 THIRD AVENUE, GALLIPOLIS OH 45631
Brent A Saunders director P.O. BOX 240, 420 3RD AVE., GALLIPOLIS OH 45631-0240
Kevin Ryan Smith director 420 THIRD AVENUE, P.O. BOX 240, GALLIPOLIS OH 45631
David W Thomas director 1204 BROKEN BOW CT, WESTERVILLE OH 43081-3262
Katrinka V Hart officer: Vice President of OVBC P.O. BOX 240, 420 3RD AVE., GALLIPOLIS OH 45631-0240
Edward J Robbins director 420 THIRD AVENUE P O BOX 240, GALLIPOLIS OH 45631
Thomas E Wiseman director P.O. BOX 240, 420 3RD AVE., GALLIPOLIS OH 45631-0240
Kimberly A Canady director 420 THIRD AVENUE P O BOX 240, GALLIPOLIS OH 45631
Jeffrey E Smith director, officer: President and CEO of OVBC P.O. BOX 240, 420 3RD AVE., GALLIPOLIS OH 45631-0240
John G Jones director 420 THIRD AVENUE, P O BOX 240, GALLIPOLIS OH 45631
Harold A Howe director, officer: Vice President of OVBC P.O. BOX 240, 420 3RD AVE., GALLIPOLIS OH 45631-0240

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