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Lannett Co (Lannett Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of May. 07, 2024)


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What is Lannett Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Lannett Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Lannett Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Lannett Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lannett Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Lannett Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lannett Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Lannett Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Lannett Co  (OTCPK:LCINQ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Lannett Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Lannett Co (Lannett Co) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1150 Northbrook Drive, Suite 155, Trevose, PA, USA, 19053
Lannett Co Inc develops, manufactures, packages, markets, and distributes generic versions of brand pharmaceutical products. It offers solid oral, extended-release, topical, nasal, and oral solution finished dosage forms of drugs that address a range of therapeutic areas, as well as ophthalmic, patch, foam, buccal, sublingual, soft gel, and injectable dosages. In addition, the company also provides its products for various medical indications comprising glaucoma, gastrointestinal, migraine, obesity, respiratory, and others. It operates in the segment of generic pharmaceuticals. Its customers include generic pharmaceutical distributors, drug wholesalers, chain drug stores, private label distributors, mail-order pharmacies, and others.
Executives
John C Chapman director 9000 STATE ROAD, PHILADELPHIA PA 19136
Timothy C Crew officer: Chief Executive Officer 9000 STATE ROAD, PHILADELPHIA PA 19136
Patrick G Lepore director 17-17 ROUTE 208 N, FAIRLAWN NJ 07410
Melissa Rewolinski director 9000 STATE ROAD, PHILADELPHIA PA 19136
Jeffrey Farber officer: Secretary
Samuel H Israel officer: Chief Legal Officer 9000 STATE ROAD, PHILADELPHIA PA 19136
John Abt officer: Vice President of Quality 9000 STATE ROAD, PHILADELPHIA PA 19136
John Kozlowski officer: Chief Operating Officer 9000 STATE ROAD, PHILADELPHIA PA 19136
David A Drabik director 9000 STATE RD, PHILADELPHIA PA 19136
Paul Taveira director 9000 STATE ROAD, PHILADELPHIA PA 19136
Albert Iii Paonessa director 9852 NW 2ND COURT, PLANTATION FL 33324
Kevin Smith other: Vice President
Maureen Cavanaugh officer: Senior Vice President and CCOO 9000 STATE ROAD, PHILADELPHIA PA 19136
David Farber officer: Treasurer
Arthur P Bedrosian officer: President P O BOX D 1400, POMONA NY 10970