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Kontoor Brands (Kontoor Brands) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Kontoor Brands Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Kontoor Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Kontoor Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, Kontoor Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kontoor Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Kontoor Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kontoor Brands's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Kontoor Brands Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.39

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Kontoor Brands  (NYSE:KTB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kontoor Brands Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Kontoor Brands (Kontoor Brands) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
400 N. Elm Street, Greensboro, NC, USA, 27401
Kontoor Brands Inc is a lifestyle apparel company. It is engaged in designing, manufacturing, sourcing, marketing, and distribution of its portfolio of brands, including Wrangler and Lee. It manufactures its products in owned and leased facilities and distributes the products through both brick and mortar and e-commerce retailers. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Wrangler segment. The company's geographical segments are the United States and International, of which the majority of its revenue comes from the United States.
Executives
Susan Denise Sumner officer: VP & CAO 400 N. ELM STREET, GREENSBORO NC 27401
Joseph A Alkire officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer C/O KONTOOR BRANDS, INC., 400 N. ELM STREET, GREENSBORO NC 27401
Thomas E. Waldron officer: VP & GB President - Wrangler 400 NORTH ELM STREET, GREENSBORO NC 27401
Andrew E Page director C/O FOOT LOCKER, INC., 330 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Doerr Thomas L Jr officer: EVP, GC, & Corp. Sec. ONE PARK PLAZA, 11270 W. PARK PLACE, SUITE 1000, MILWAUKEE WI 53224
Ashley Goldsmith director 400 N. ELM STREET, GREENSBORO NC 27401
Scott H Baxter director, officer: President & CEO 400 NORTH ELM STREET, GREENSBORO NC 27401
Laurel Krueger officer: VP, GC & Corporate Secretary ONE EXPRESS DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43230
Mark L. Schiller director C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP, INC., 1111 MARCUS AVENUE, LAKE SUCCESS NY 11042
Robert Lynch director P. O. BOX 99900, LOUISVILLE KY 40269
Richard Carucci director 1441 GARDINER LANE, LOUISVILLE KY 47113
Juliana L Chugg director 1200 WILLOW LAKE BOULEVARD, PO BOX 64683, ST PAUL MN 55164-0683
Rich Williams director 600 W. CHICAGO AVENUE SUITE 400, CHICAGO IL 60654
Rustin Welton officer: VP & CFO 400 NORTH ELM STREET, GREENSBORO NC 27401
Christopher Waldeck officer: VP & GB President - Lee 400 NORTH ELM STREET, GREENSBORO NC 27401