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Kura Sushi USA (Kura Sushi USA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is Kura Sushi USA Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Kura Sushi USA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Kura Sushi USA's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Restaurants subindustry, Kura Sushi USA's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kura Sushi USA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Kura Sushi USA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kura Sushi USA's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Kura Sushi USA Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.72

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Kura Sushi USA  (NAS:KRUS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kura Sushi USA Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Kura Sushi USA (Kura Sushi USA) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
17461 Derian Avenue, Suite 200, Irvine, California, DE, USA, 92614
Kura Sushi USA Inc is a Japanese restaurant company. It operates revolving sushi chain restaurants in the United States. It provides access to the revolving and express conveyor belts, on-demand ordering screen, plate slot, and the Bikkura-Pon rewards machine. The company offers several dishes, including Dashi Olive Salmon, Tomago, Sweet Shrimp, Tuna, Garlic Tuna Steak, Salmon, among others. Geographically, it derives revenue from the United States of America.
Executives
Brent Takao officer: See Remarks C/O KURA SUSHI USA, INC., 17461 DERIAN AVE., SUITE 200, IRVINE CA 92614
Carin Stutz director C/O BRINKER INTERNATIONAL, INC., 6820 LBJ FREEWAY, DALLAS TX 75240
Jeffrey J Uttz officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O SHAKE SHACK INC., 24 UNION SQUARE EAST, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Shahin Allameh officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O KURA SUSHI USA, INC., 17461 DERIAN AVENUE, SUITE 200, IRVINE CA 92614
Benrubi Steven officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O KURA SUSHI USA, INC., 17461 DERIAN AVENUE, SUITE 200, IRVINE CA 92614
Hiroyuki Okamoto director C/O KURA SUSHI USA, INC., 17461 DERIAN AVE., SUITE 200, IRVINE CA 92614
Kim Ellis director C/O KURA SUSHI USA, INC., 17461 DERIAN AVE., SUITE 200, IRVINE CA 92614
Shintaro Asako director 1301 SECOND AVENUE, SUITE 4200, SEATTLE WA 98101
Manabu Kamei director, officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O KURA SUSHI USA, INC., 17932 SKY PARK CIRCLE, SUITE H, IRVINE CA 92614
Hideto Sugimoto officer: Director of Operations C/O KURA SUSHI USA, INC., 17932 SKY PARK CIRCLE, SUITE H, IRVINE CA 92614
Koji Shinohara director, officer: See Remarks C/O KURA SUSHI USA, INC., 17932 SKY PARK CIRCLE, SUITE H, IRVINE CA 92614
Hajime Uba director, officer: See Remarks C/O KURA SUSHI USA, INC., 17461 DERIAN AVE., SUITE 200, IRVINE CA 92614
Seitaro Ishii director C/O KURA SUSHI USA, INC., 17461 DERIAN AVE., SUITE 200, IRVINE CA 92614
Kura Sushi, Inc. 10 percent owner 1-2-2 FUKASAKA, NAKA-KU, SAKAI-SHI, OSAKA M0 599-8253