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ICU Medical (ICU Medical) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of May. 19, 2024)


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What is ICU Medical Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, ICU Medical's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of ICU Medical's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Instruments & Supplies subindustry, ICU Medical's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ICU Medical's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, ICU Medical's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ICU Medical's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



ICU Medical Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.48

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


ICU Medical  (NAS:ICUI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


ICU Medical Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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ICU Medical (ICU Medical) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
951 Calle Amanecer, San Clemente, CA, USA, 92673
ICU Medical is a California-based, pure-play infusion therapy company that provides consumables, systems, and services for virtually every component of the IV continuum of care. ICU has become one of the largest players in its industry following its acquisition of Hospira Infusion Systems from Pfizer in 2017, and Smiths Medical from Smiths Group in 2022. It holds top-tier positions in its original reporting segments: infusion consumables (25% of 2022 revenue), IV solutions (16%), infusion systems (15%), and critical care (2%) as well as its new Smiths segments: Smiths infusion systems (15%), vascular access (14%), and vital care (12%). The combined entity remains primarily U.S. focused, generating over 64% of its sales domestically.
Executives
Daniel Woolson officer: VP, GM-Infusion Capital ICU MEDICAL, INC., 951 CALLE AMANECER, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
Christian B. Voigtlander officer: Chief Operating Officer 951 CALLE AMANECER, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
Vivek Jain director, officer: Chairman and CEO ICU MEDICAL, INC., 951 CALLE AMANECER, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
Elisha W Finney director C/O VARIAN MEDICAL SYSTEMS, INC, 3100 HANSEN WAY M/S E-327, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Virginia Ruth Sanzone officer: VP, General Counsel 951 CALLE AMANECER, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
George A Lopez director, officer: Chairman, other: Chairman C/O ICU MEDICAL, 951 CALLE AMANECER, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
William Seeger director 951 CALLE AMANECER, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
Smiths Group International Holdings Ltd 10 percent owner C/O SMITHS GROUP PLC, 11-12 ST. JAMES'S SQUARE, 4TH FLOOR, LONDON X0 SW1Y 4LB
Group Plc Smiths 10 percent owner 765 FINCHKEY ROAD, LONDON X0 00000
Kolleen T Kennedy director VARIAN MEDICAL SYSTEMS INC, 3100 HANSEN WAY MAIL STOP E327, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Robert S Swinney director C/O ICU MEDICAL, 951 CALLE AMANECER, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
Laurie Hernandez director 951 CALLE AMANECER, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
Brian Michael Bonnell officer: Chief Financial Officer ICU MEDICAL INC., 951 CALLE AMANECER, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
Scott E Lamb officer: Controller ICU MEDICAL, INC., 951 CALLE AMANECER, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
Kevin J Mcgrody other: Controller ICU MEDICAL, INC., 951 CALLE AMANECER, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673

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