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Hillenbrand (Hillenbrand) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is Hillenbrand Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Hillenbrand's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Hillenbrand's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Hillenbrand's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hillenbrand's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Hillenbrand's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hillenbrand's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Hillenbrand Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.34

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Hillenbrand  (NYSE:HI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Hillenbrand Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Hillenbrand (Hillenbrand) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Batesville Boulevard, Batesville, IN, USA, 47006
Hillenbrand Inc is a U.S.-based company that operates through three segments. The Advanced Process Solutions segment designs, develops, manufactures, and services engineered industrial equipment. The Molding Technology Solutions segment offers engineered and customized systems in plastic technology and processing. Batesville designs provides, and markets funeral services and solutions.
Executives
Daniel C. Hillenbrand director ONE BATESVILLE BOULEVARD, BATESVILLE IN 47006
Robert M Vanhimbergen officer: Sr VP, Chief Financial Officer ONE BATESVILLE BOULEVARD, BATESVILLE IN 47006
Kimberly K Ryan officer: Senior Vice President ONE BATESVILLE BOULEVARD, BATESVILLE IN 47006
Helen W Cornell director 1800 GARDNER EXPRESSWAY, QUINCY IL 62305
Tamara Morytko officer: Sr. VP and President MTS 1250 NE LOOP 410, SUITE 1000, SAN ANTONIO TX 78209
Carole Anne Phillips officer: See Remarks 6365 BIRDIE CIRCLE, GRAYLING MI 49738
J Michael Whitted officer: Sr. VP Strategy & Corp Dev ONE BATESVILLE BOULEVARD, BATESVILLE IN 47006
Ling An-heid officer: Senior Vice President ONE BATESVILLE BLVD., BATESVILLE IN 47006
Megan A Walke officer: VP, CAO ONE BATESVILLE BOULEVARD, BATESVILLE IN 47006
Ulrich Bartel officer: Senior Vice President HILLENBRAND, INC., 1 BATESVILLE BOULEVARD, BATESVILLE IN 47006
Christopher H Trainor officer: Sr. Vice President ONE BATESVILLE BOULEVARD, BATESVILLE IN 47006
Inderpreet Sawhney director HILLENBRAND, INC., 1 BATESVILLE BOULEVARD, BATESVILLE IN 47006
Neil S Novich director RYERSON LTULL INC, 2621 W 15TH PLACE, CHICAGO IL 60603
Bhavik N. Soni officer: VP & Chief Information Officer ONE BATESVILLE BOULEVARD, BATESVILLE IN 47006
Michael D Prado officer: VP, Global Supply Management ONE BATESVILLE BOULEVARD, BATESVILLE IN 47006