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GAMCO Global Gold Natural Resources &ome Trust (GAMCO Global Gold Natural Resources &ome Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is GAMCO Global Gold Natural Resources &ome Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, GAMCO Global Gold Natural Resources &ome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of GAMCO Global Gold Natural Resources &ome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, GAMCO Global Gold Natural Resources &ome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

GAMCO Global Gold Natural Resources &ome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, GAMCO Global Gold Natural Resources &ome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where GAMCO Global Gold Natural Resources &ome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


GAMCO Global Gold Natural Resources &ome Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-10.56

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Money Market Investments) / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

GAMCO Global Gold Natural Resources &ome Trust  (AMEX:GGN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

GAMCO Global Gold Natural Resources &ome Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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GAMCO Global Gold Natural Resources &ome Trust (GAMCO Global Gold Natural Resources &ome Trust) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » GAMCO Global Gold Natural Resources & Income Trust (AMEX:GGN) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Comparable Companies
NDMO FAX PFN BOE FDUS CCAP CION CEM VVR NIE BLK BX KKR OSTO:INVE A APO TSX:BN BK AMP LSE:III XSWX:PGHN
Traded in Other Exchanges
GGN.PRB.PFD:USA
Address
One Corporate Center, Rye, NY, USA, 10580-1422
Website
https://www.gabelli.com
GAMCO Global Gold Natural Resources & Income Trust is a non-diversified closed-end management investment company. Its primary investment objective is to provide a high current income and capital appreciation as its secondary objective. To achieve its objective, the fund may invest 80% of its assets in equity securities of companies principally engaged in the gold and natural resources industries. It also intends to earn income through an option strategy of writing (selling) covered call options on equity securities in its portfolio.
Executives
Agnes Mullady officer: Treasurer ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Calgary Avansino director C/O GAMCO INVESTORS, INC., ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Elizabeth C Bogan director C/O DINSMORE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT CO., 65 MADISON AVENUE, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Peter D. Goldstein officer: Secretary 249 ROYAL PALM WAY, SUITE 503, PALM BEACH FL 33480
James P Conn director
Mario J Gabelli other: Control Person of Adviser 191 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Michael J Melarkey director ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Salvatore J Zizza director 810 SEVENTH AVE, 27TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Anthony S. Colavita director C/O GAMCO INVESTORS, INC., ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
John Chester Ball officer: Treasurer 800 CONNECTICUT AVENUE, NORWALK CT 06854
Salvatore M Salibello director ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Anthonie C Vanekris director ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Fahrenkopf Frank J Jr director ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Bruce N Alpert officer: President C/O GAMCO INVESTORS, INC., ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Urso Mario D director 65 EATON SQUARE, LONDON SW UK X0 041101225