What is Telestone Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Telestone Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Telestone Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Telestone Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Telestone Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry
For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Telestone Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Telestone Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Telestone Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Telestone Technologies (FRA:MSOA) Business Description
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Telestone Technologies Corp was organized under the laws of the State of Colorado in February 1987 under the name Shield Enterprises, Inc. In August 2004, TSTC reincorporated in the State of Delaware under the name Telestone Technologies Corporation. It provides access network solutions in China. The company's access network solutions include the research and development and application of access-network technology. In addition to its homegrown access-network equipment, which includes repeaters, antennas, and radio-frequency peripherals, the company offers project design, project management, installation, maintenance, and other after sales services to its customers. The company offers WFDS, a next generation wireless distribution system. WFDS is an all-optical network that combines the technologies of both wireless and optical telecommunications. As of December 31, 2011, it completed 499 WFDS installations. The company designs and sells electronic equipment used to provide access-network solutions to its customers. Many of these types of equipment, including WFDS products, RFPA products, passive components and base station antennas for 2G, 3G, Broadband access and CATV networks, are specialized active microwave components designed to meet the needs of its customers.The company provides systems integration services to its customers. The primary systems integration services provided to the company's customers are project design and engineering, specifically, the development and design of indoor and outdoor wireless signal complementary coverage solutions and their applied products. The company also markets its products to 29 countries, including the United States, Vietnam, Mexico, Brazil, Russia, India, the Philippines, Thailand, Ireland, Ecuador, Mongolia, South Africa, Turkey, Indonesia, Colombia, Costa Rica, Argentina, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Singapore, South Korea, Hong Kong, Saudi Arabia, New Zealand, Bangladesh, the United Arab Emirates, Canada, and Iceland.
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