GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Cornerstone Total Return Fund Inc (AMEX:CRF) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Cornerstone Total Return Fund (Cornerstone Total Return Fund) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 24, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1987. Start your Free Trial

What is Cornerstone Total Return Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cornerstone Total Return Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Cornerstone Total Return Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Cornerstone Total Return Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cornerstone Total Return Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Cornerstone Total Return Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cornerstone Total Return Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Cornerstone Total Return Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-13.04

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Cornerstone Total Return Fund  (AMEX:CRF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Cornerstone Total Return Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cornerstone Total Return Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cornerstone Total Return Fund (Cornerstone Total Return Fund) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
225 Pictoria Drive, Suite 450, Cincinnati, OH, USA, 45246
Cornerstone Total Return Fund Inc is a diversified closed-end management company. Its objective is to seek capital appreciation with current income as a secondary objective. The company invests in sectors such as Information Technology; Health Care; Financials; Communication Services; Industrials; Utilities; Energy; Real Estate and others.
Executives
Matthew Morris director 1905 SHARP PL, HOUSTON TX 77019
Joshua Bradshaw director 1075 HENDERSONVILLE ROAD, SUITE 250, ASHEVILLE NC 28803
Brian James Lutes officer: Treasurer C/O ULTIMUS FUND SOLUTIONS, LLC, 225 PICTORIA DRIVE, SUITE 450, CINCINNATI OH 45246
Daniel Bradshaw director 1075 HENDERSONVILLE ROAD, SUITE 250, ASHEVILLE NC 28803
Wilcox Glenn W Sr director ONE WEST PACK SQUARE SUITE 1700, ASHEVILLE NC 28801
Ralph W Bradshaw director, officer: President 1075 HENDERSONVILLE ROAD, SUITE 250, ASHEVILLE NC 28803
Marcia Emilia Malzahn director 16494 73RD AVENUE N, MAPLE GROVE MN 55311
Hoyt M. Peters officer: Secretary 1075 HENDERSONVILLE ROAD, ASHEVILLE NC 28803
Alan M. Mandel officer: Treasurer C/O SCHRODERS, 875 THIRD AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Robert E Dean director 5570 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Frank J. Maresca officer: Treasurer 5 GREENVIEW CIR., HUNTINGTON NY 11743-5152
Theresa Minogue Bridge officer: Treasurer C/O ULTIMUS FUND SOLUTIONS, LLC, 225 PICTORIA DRIVE, SUITE 450, CINCINNATI OH 45246
William A Clark director, officer: Vice President C/O CORNERSTONE ADVISORS, INC., ONE WEST PARK SQUARE, SUITE 1650, ASHEVILLE NC 28801
Andrew A Strauss director 77 CENTRAL AVE SUITE F, ASHEVILLE NC 28801

Cornerstone Total Return Fund (Cornerstone Total Return Fund) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Cornerstone Total Return Fund Inc's Dividend Analysis

By GuruFocus Research 01-12-2024