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CenterPoint Energy (CenterPoint Energy) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of May. 02, 2024)


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What is CenterPoint Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, CenterPoint Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of CenterPoint Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, CenterPoint Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CenterPoint Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, CenterPoint Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CenterPoint Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



CenterPoint Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.80

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


CenterPoint Energy  (NYSE:CNP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


CenterPoint Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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CenterPoint Energy (CenterPoint Energy) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1111 Louisiana, Houston, TX, USA, 77002
CenterPoint Energy owns a portfolio of businesses. Its regulated electric utilities provide transmission and distribution services to more than 2.5 million customers in the Houston area, southern Indiana, and west central Ohio. The company has natural gas distribution systems in six states serving approximately 4 million customers.
Executives
Christopher A Foster officer: EVP and CFO 77 BEALE ST., P.O. BOX 770000, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94177
David J Lesar director, officer: President & CEO
Jason P. Wells officer: EVP & CFO 77 BEALE ST., P.O. BOX 770000, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94177
Kristie Colvin officer: SVP and CAO 1111 LOUISIANA, HOUSTON TX 77002
Ricky Anthony Raven director 1111 LOUISIANA STREEET, STE. 4600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Thaddeus J. Malik director 1111 LOUISIANA STREET, STE. 4600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Russell Keith Wright officer: VP, FP&A and Interim CAO 1111 LOUISIANA STREET, STE 4600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Barry T Smitherman director NRG ENERGY, INC., 804 CARNEGIE CENTER, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Ted Pound director C/O ALLIS-CHALMERS, 5075 WESTHIEMER, #890, HOUSTON TX 77056
Kara Gostenhofer Ryan officer: Vice President and CAO 1111 LOUISIANA STREET, # 4600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Martin H. Nesbitt director 10319 WESTLAKE DRIVE, SUITE 112, BETHESDA MD 20817
Wendolynn Montoya Cloonan director 1111 LOUISIANA STREET #4600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Wooten Lewis Raquelle director 1111 LOUISIANA STREET, #4600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Phillip R Smith director 1111 LOUISIANA, HOUSTON TX 77002
Earl M Cummings director 1111 LOUISIANA STREET #4600, HOUSTON TX 77002

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