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Clearday (Clearday) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 6.32% (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Clearday Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Clearday's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 6.32%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Clearday's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Clearday's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Clearday's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Clearday's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Clearday's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Clearday Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-2.70

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=6.32%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Clearday  (OTCPK:CLRD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Clearday Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Clearday (Clearday) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
8800 Village Drive, Suite 106, San Antonio, TX, USA, 78217
Clearday Inc is a non-acute health care services company. It operates four residential care facilities and a daycare center that serve primarily older Americans and persons facing cognitive issues such as Alzheimer's and other forms of dementia. Some of its products include Clearday Network, Clearday at Home, Clearday Clubs, and memory care America.
Executives
James Walesa director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1460 RENAISSANCE DR., #212, PARK RIDGE IL 60068
Watson Robert Glen Jr. director 602 ALTA AVENUE, SAN ANTONIO TX 78217
Billie Jay Parrish director, officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O CLEARDAY, INC., 8800 VILLAGE DRIVE, SUITE 106, SAN ANTONIO TX 78217
Elizabeth M. Caveness director 408 EAST CREEKVIEW DRIVE, HAMPSTEAD NC 28443
Alan H Channing director 263 W END AVE., APT 3A, NEW YORK NY 10023
Gary Sawina officer: Executive Vice President 17302 FOUNTAIN VIEW DRIVE, SAN ANTONIO TX 78248
Linda Carrasco officer: President Memory Care America 126 STEEL VALLEY DRIVE, BOERNE TX 78006
Richard M. Morris officer: Executive Vice President 11 AMALFI DRIVE, CORTLANDT MANOR NY 10567
Allied Integral United, Inc. 10 percent owner 2211 NW MILITARY HIGHWAY, SUITE 201, SAN ANTONIO TX 78213
Julia Suzanne Johnson director 1001 RIDDER PARK STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Kopp Family Office, Llc 10 percent owner 8500 NORMANDALE LAKE BOULEVARD, SUITE 475, BLOOMINGTON MN 55437
Dan L Halvorson director 4780 EASTGATE MALL, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Kenneth E Pfeiffer officer: Vice President Engineering 460 WARD DRIVE, SANTA BARBARA CA 93111
Thomas R Giunta officer: VP Engineering 460 WARD DRIVE, SANTA BARBARA CA 93111
Xiaoxiong Zhang 10 percent owner 3/F, BLOCK B, 11 LANGSHAN RD, HI-TECH INDUSTRIAL PK, NANSHAN DISTRICT, SHENZHEN F4 518057