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C&J Energy Services (C&J Energy Services) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Jun. 10, 2024)


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What is C&J Energy Services Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, C&J Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of C&J Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services subindustry, C&J Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


C&J Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, C&J Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where C&J Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



C&J Energy Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


C&J Energy Services  (NYSE:CJ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


C&J Energy Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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C&J Energy Services (C&J Energy Services) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » C&J Energy Services Inc (NYSE:CJ) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3990 Rogerdale Road, Houston, TX, USA, 77042
C&J Energy Services is an oil and gas equipment and services company operating in North America. The company provides oilfield and rig services to upstream exploration and production companies. Its three main business segments are completion services, well construction and intervention services, and well support services. Completion services generate most of the company's revenue and include fracturing services and cased-hole wireline and pumping services. The well construction and intervention services segment consists of cementing and coiled tubing services. The company's well support services segment includes rig services, fluid management services, and other special well site services. The company generates most of its revenue in the United States.
Executives
Sterling Renshaw officer: See Remarks 3990 ROGERDALE RD., HOUSTON TX 77042
John J Kennedy director C/O EDGEN GROUP INC., 18444 HIGHLAND ROAD, BATON ROUGE LA 70809
Michael Roemer director 10375 RICHMOND AVENUE, SUITE 2000, HOUSTON TX 77042
Patrick M Murray director 1177 ENCLAVE PARKWAY, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77077
Steven L Mueller director
William D. Driver officer: See Remarks 10375 RICHMOND AVENUE, SUITE 2000, HOUSTON TX 77042
Michael S Galvan officer: See Remarks 3990 ROGERDALE RD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Van Gaalen Jan Kees officer: Chief Financial Officer 10205 WESTHEIMER, SUITE 1000, HOUSTON TX 77042
Danielle E. Hunter officer: See Remarks 3990 ROGERDALE RD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Amy H Nelson director 2000 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77056
Stuart M Brightman director 25025 INTERSTATE 45 NORTH, SUITE 600, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Solus Alternative Asset Management Lp 10 percent owner 25 MAPLE STREET, 2ND FLOOR, SUMMIT NJ 07901
Christopher Pucillo 10 percent owner C/O SOLUS ALTERNATIVE ASSET MANAGEMENT, 25 MAPLE STREET, 2ND FLOOR, SUMMIT NJ 07901
Solus Gp Llc 10 percent owner C/O SOLUS ALTERNATIVE ASSET MANAGEMENT, 25 MAPLE STREET, 2ND FLOOR, SUMMIT NJ 07901
Stephen A Schwarzman 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVE, NEW YORK NY 10154