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Conduit Pharmaceuticals (Conduit Pharmaceuticals) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is Conduit Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Conduit Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Conduit Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Conduit Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Conduit Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Conduit Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Conduit Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


Conduit Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Conduit Pharmaceuticals  (NAS:CDT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Conduit Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Conduit Pharmaceuticals (Conduit Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Conduit Pharmaceuticals Inc (NAS:CDT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Comparable Companies
GLSI VOR ACRV TRVI ABOS DSGN NYMXF ABSI CYT GOSS OCSE:NOVO B VRTX REGN ASX:CSL SGEN XKRX:207940 MRNA XBRU:ARGX HKSE:02269 BNTX
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4995 Murphy Canyon Road, Suite 300, San Diega, CA, USA, 92123
Website
https://www.conduitpharma.com
Conduit Pharmaceuticals Inc is a clinical-stage specialty biopharmaceutical company that was formed to facilitate the development and commercialization of clinical assets that have not been or are not being, prioritized by leading biopharmaceutical companies in order to develop pharmaceutical products that meet the unmet medical needs of patients. The Company's current development pipeline includes a glucokinase activator, which is Phase II ready in autoimmune diseases including uveitis, Hashimoto's Thyroiditis, preterm labor and renal transplant rejection. The Company's development pipeline also includes a potent, irreversible inhibitor of human Myeloperoxidase (MPO) that has the potential to treat idiopathic male infertility.
Executives
Intelmed Llc other: See Responses 11421 GOLDEN EAGLE COURT, NAPLES FL 34120
Jennifer Isacoff Mcnealey director C/O CODEX DNA, INC., 9535 WAPLES STREET, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO Z4 92121
David Tapolczay director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 32 CROUCH HALL LANE, ST. ALBANS X0 AL3 7EU
Andrew Regan director, 10 percent owner LE MANOIR DE LURIN, SAINT BARTHELEMY Z0 97133
Faith L. Charles director ABEONA THERAPEUTICS INC., 1330 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS - FLOOR 33, NEW YORK NY 10019
Algo Holdings, Inc. 10 percent owner, other: See Responses 100 W. CYPRESS CREEK ROAD, STE. 640, FORT LAUDERDALE NY 33309
Corvus Capital Ltd. 10 percent owner, other: See Responses WILLOW HOUSE, CRICKET SQUARE PO BOX 709, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1 - 1107
Freda C Lewis-hall director C/O VERTEX PHARMACEUTICALS INCORPORATED, 130 WAVERLY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
James Bligh director 38 OXBERRY AVENUE, LONDON X0 SW6 5SS
Shaolin Capital Management Llc 10 percent owner 230 NW 24TH STREET, SUITE 603, MIAMI FL 33127
Richard Edward Feinberg director 2855 FIFTH AVENUE, UNIT 405, SAN DIEGO CA 92103
Murphy Canyon Acquisition Sponsor, Llc 10 percent owner 4995 MURPHY CANYON ROAD, SUITE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92123
Chele Chiavacci Farley director 4 RIDGE ROAD, TUXEDO PARK NY 10987
Bentzen Edwin H Iv officer: Chief Accounting Officer 2513 BIRCH HOLLOW ST, HENDERSON NV 89044
Jack Kendrick Heilbron director, officer: CEO, President, and Chairman 16433 BRONCO LANE, POWAY CA 92064