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Baiyu Holdings (Baiyu Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.37% (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is Baiyu Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Baiyu Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.37%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Baiyu Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Shell Companies subindustry, Baiyu Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Baiyu Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, Baiyu Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Baiyu Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Baiyu Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.61

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.37%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Baiyu Holdings  (NAS:BYU) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Baiyu Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Baiyu Holdings (Baiyu Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
139, Xinzhou 11th Street, Futian District, Shenzhen, CHN, 518000
Baiyu Holdings Inc is engaged in Bulk B2B commodity trading business and supply chain service business in China. The Commodities Trading Business involves purchasing the non-ferrous metal product from upstream metal and mineral suppliers and then selling to downstream customers. It offers comprehensive solutions and operations for global new energy storage systems and specialized sectors. The Supply Chain Service Business has served as a one-stop commodity supply chain service and digital intelligence supply chain platform integrating upstream and downstream enterprises, warehouses, logistics, information, and futures trading.
Executives
Shuxiang Zhang 10 percent owner FLR. 7 BLDG NO. 28 CHENGFU RD., YOUSHENG MANSION, HAIDIAN DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 00000
Renmei Ouyang director, officer: Chief Executive Officer ZHONGZHOU BUILDING, ROOM 3302, FUTIAN DISTRICT, SHENZHEN, GUANGDONG F4 518000
Wong Heung Ming Henry director YUEHAI STREET, NANSHAN DISTRICT, SHENZHEN F4 518054
Xiangjun Wang director JINGTIAN EAST ROAD, FUTIAN DISTRICT, SHENZHEN F4 518000
Qun Xie director, officer: Chief Strategy Officer NO. 6 MIDDLE XIERQI ROAD, ROOM 104, HAIDIAN DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 100085
Yang Jie 10 percent owner 108 WOOLEYS LN, GREAT NECK NJ 11023
Boling Liu director BAO'AN AVE, BAOAN QU, SHENZHEN,GUANGDONG F4 518102
Teck Chuan Yeo director 17 MIMOSA VIEW, SINGAPORE U0 8055697
Mingjie Zhao director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 190-19 50TH AVE, FRESH MEADOWS NY 11365
Weiliang Jie director BUILDING B, JINGANG HUATING, SHENZHEN F4 00000
Qinyan Yang director C/O CHINA COMMERICIAL CREDIT, NO. 1688, YUNLI ROAD TONGLI, WUJIANG JIANGSU PROVINCE F4 215200
Bo Xu director C/O CHINA COMMERICIAL CREDIT, NO. 1688, YUNLI ROAD TONGLI, WUJIANG JIANGSU PROVINCE F4 215200
Jingeng Ling director NO. 1688, YUNLI ROAD, TONGLI, WUJIANG, JIANGSU PROVINCE F4 0000000000
Xiangdong Xiao director NO.1688, YUNLI ROAD, TONGLI, WUJIANG, JIANGSU PROVINCE F4 0000000000
Jianmin Yin director NO. 1688, YUNLI ROAD, TONGLI, WUJIANG, JIANGSU PROVINCE F4 0000000000

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