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Bluerock Homes Trust (Bluerock Homes Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is Bluerock Homes Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Bluerock Homes Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Bluerock Homes Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Residential subindustry, Bluerock Homes Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bluerock Homes Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Bluerock Homes Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bluerock Homes Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Bluerock Homes Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.64

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Bluerock Homes Trust  (AMEX:BHM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Bluerock Homes Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Bluerock Homes Trust (Bluerock Homes Trust) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1345 Avenue of the Americas, 32nd Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10105
Bluerock Homes Trust Inc owns and operates single-family properties that generate rental and other property-related income through the leasing of units to a diverse base of tenants. The properties are located in Sunbelt and the Western United States.
Executives
Christopher J. Vohs officer: CFO and Treasurer 27777 FRANKLIN RD SUITE 900, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Par Olof Sanda 10 percent owner 624 RIVIERA ISLE DRIVE, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Sand Capital Associates Llc 10 percent owner 501 N BIRCH RD, UNIT 3, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33304
Romano Tio director 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Babb James G. Iii officer: Chief Strategy Officer 712 FIFTH AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Ryan S Macdonald officer: Chief Investment Officer 712 FIFTH AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10012
Michael Difranco officer: Executive VP, Operations 712 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 900, NEW YORK NY 10019
Kamal Jafarnia director 7201 REGENCY COURT, PLANO TX 75024
Elizabeth Scott Harrison director 390 WEST END AVENUE, APARTMENT 3F, NEW YORK NY 10024
I. Bobby Majumder director 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Ramin Kamfar officer: Chief Executive Officer 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 32 FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Jordan B. Ruddy director, officer: President 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Bluerock Residential Growth Reit, Inc. 10 percent owner 712 FIFTH AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Jason Emala officer: See Remarks 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105