Bain Capital Specialty Finance (Bain Capital Specialty Finance) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of May. 26, 2024)

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What is Bain Capital Specialty Finance Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-8.19

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Money Market Investments)

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Bain Capital Specialty Finance (NYSE:BCSF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Bain Capital Specialty Finance (Bain Capital Specialty Finance) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc (NYSE:BCSF) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

618:Germany

Address

200 Clarendon Street, 37th Floor, Boston, MA, USA, 02116

Website

https://www.baincapitalbdc.com

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc is an externally managed, closed-end, non-diversified management investment company. The company has elected to be treated as a business development company (BDC) under the Investment Company Act of 1940. The company is managed by the Advisor, an investment adviser that is registered with the SEC under the Investment Advisers Act. The advisor also provides the administrative services necessary for the company to operate. The primary focus is capitalizing on opportunities within Bain Capital Credit's Senior Direct Lending Strategy which seeks to provide risk-adjusted returns and current income to investors by investing primarily in middle-market companies with between $10.0 million and $150.0 million in annual EBITDA.

Executives

Clare Stack Richer	director	BAIN CAPITAL, LP, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Jessica Yeager	officer: Secretary	200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Thomas A. Hough	director	2613 RUTGERS COURT, PLANO TX 75093
Amy S Butte	director	C/O L CATTERTON MANAGEMENT, 599 WEST PUTNAM AVENUE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Michael A Ewald	officer: President and CEO	C/O BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT, LP, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Jeffrey B. Hawkins	director	C/O BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT, LP, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Sally F Dornaus	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT, LP, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Jay Margolis	director	C/O BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT, LP, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Michael John Boyle	officer: Vice President and Treasurer	C/O BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT, LP, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Patrick M. Dury	officer: Chief Financial Officer	200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Michael Bennett Treisman	officer: Vice President and Secretary	C/O BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT, LP, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Bain Capital Credit Member, Llc	10 percent owner	200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Bain Capital Distressed & Special Situations 2016 (f), L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT, LP, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Bcsf Holdings, L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT, LP, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
David G Fubini	director	D.G. FUBINI CONSULTANTS, LLC, 80 SEARS ROAD, BROOKLINE MA 02445