GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » Anghami Inc (NAS:ANGH) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Anghami (Anghami) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 15.36% (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2022. Start your Free Trial

What is Anghami Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Anghami's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 15.36%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Anghami's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Entertainment subindustry, Anghami's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Anghami's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Anghami's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Anghami's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Anghami Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-1.71

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=15.36%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Anghami  (NAS:ANGH) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Anghami Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Anghami's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Anghami (Anghami) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Abu Dhabi Global Market Square, Al Maryah Island, 16th Floor, Al-Khatem Tower, WeWork Hub71, Abu Dhabi, ARE
Anghami Inc is a digital music entertainment technology platform in the Middle East and North Africa, with the largest catalog of songs. The company features licensed content from leading Arabic labels, independent artists, and distributors. It also features music from major International labels such as Universal, Sony, and Warner and is continuously licensing new content.

Anghami (Anghami) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Anghami, Volkswagen Partner to Promote Safer Driving

By Business Wire Business Wire 05-26-2022