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Akoustis Technologies (Akoustis Technologies) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 93.28% (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is Akoustis Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Akoustis Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 93.28%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Akoustis Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Akoustis Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Akoustis Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Akoustis Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Akoustis Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Akoustis Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=2.63

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=93.28%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Akoustis Technologies  (NAS:AKTS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Akoustis Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Akoustis Technologies (Akoustis Technologies) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
9805 Northcross Center Court, Suite A, Huntersville, NC, USA, 28078
Akoustis Technologies Inc is an emerging commercial product company focused on developing, designing, and manufacturing innovative RF filter solutions for the wireless industry, including for products such as smartphones and tablets, network infrastructure equipment, WiFi Customer Premise Equipment and defense applications. The company has developed a proprietary microelectromechanical system based bulk acoustic wave technology and a unique manufacturing process flow, called XBAW, for filters produced for use in RFFE modules. The company derives revenue from the sale of filter products under individual customer purchase orders, some of which have underlying master sales agreements that specify terms governing the product sales.
Executives
David Aichele officer: VP of Business Development 9805 NORTHCROSS CENTER CT, SUITE H, HUNTERSVILLE NC 28078
Kenneth Boller officer: Interim CFO 9805 NORTHCROSS CENTER CT., SUITE A, HUNTERSVILLE NC 28078
Steven Denbaars director 9805 NORTHCROSS CENTER CT, SUITE H, HUNTERSVILLE NC 28078
Michelle Petock director 9805 NORTHCROSS CENTER CT., SUITE A, HUNTERSVILLE NC 28078
Jeffrey B. Shealy director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 9805 NORTHCROSS CENTER CT, SUITE A, HUNTERSVILLE NC 28078
James Michael Mcguire director 9805 NORTHCROSS CENTER CT., SUITE A, HUNTERSVILLE NC 28078
Suzanne B Rudy director 7628 THORNDIKE RD, GREENSBORO NC 27409
Arthur Geiss director 9805 NORTHCROSS CENTER CT, SUITE H, HUNTERSVILLE NC 28078
Rohan Houlden officer: Chief Product Officer 9805 NORTHCROSS CENTER CT., SUITE A, HUNTERSVILLE NC 27078
Jeffrey Mcmahon director 9805 NORTHCROSS CENTER CT, SUITE H, HUNTERSVILLE NC 28078
Jerry D Neal director
Steven P Miller director C/O TRIQUINT SEMICONDUCTOR INC, 2300 NE BROOKWOOD PKWY, HILLSBORO OR 97124
John T Kurtzweil director C/O CIRRUS LOGIC, INC., 2901 VIA FORTUNA, AUSTIN TX 78746
Mark N. Tompkins 10 percent owner APP. 1, VIA GUIDINO 23, LUGANO-PARADISO V8 6900
Mark Boomgarden officer: Vice President of Operations 9805 NORTHCROSS CENTER CT, SUITE H, HUNTERSVILLE NC 28078